Football · Chile Primera B · 24/08, 01:30
Prediction: Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe
Team pages: Curico Unido · Union San Felipe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Curico Unido1.49
Union San Felipe0.98
1X2
Curico Unido
Draw
Union San Felipe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Curico Unido
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Union San Felipe
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Curico Unido
2–2–2
Union San Felipe
(6 last)
- Union San Felipe0-0Curico Unido
- Union San Felipe4-2Curico Unido
- Curico Unido3-0Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe3-1Curico Unido
- Curico Unido2-0Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe2-2Curico Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Curico Unido 1482 · Union San Felipe 1471
| Curico Unido | Draw | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 48% | 28% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Curico Unido | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.2 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.6 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Curico Unido 2–2–2 Union San Felipe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 06/09/25 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Curico Unido |
| 03/05/25 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 14/07/24 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Curico Unido |
| 24/02/24 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 05/03/17 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Curico Unido |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 35 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
| 4 | Union Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
| 5 | San Luis Quillota | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 32 |
| 6 | CD Antofagasta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 31 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Curico Unido | Union San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Copiapo | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Rangers de Talca | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Cobreloa | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Temuco | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| CD Antofagasta | 1-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Santiago Wanderers | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| San Marcos De Arica | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Union San Felipe (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Curico Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Curico Unido win (48%). Probabilities: Curico Unido 48%, draw 28%, Union San Felipe 24%.
How many goals are expected in Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Curico Unido 1.49 · Union San Felipe 0.98), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.