Football · Chile Primera B · 18/08, 00:00
Prediction: Deportes Copiapo vs Curico Unido
Team pages: Deportes Copiapo · Curico Unido
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Deportes Copiapo1.33
Curico Unido0.88
1X2
Deportes Copiapo
Draw
Curico Unido
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Copiapo
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Curico Unido
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Copiapo
1–5–0
Curico Unido
(6 last)
- Curico Unido1-1Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo1-1Curico Unido
- Curico Unido1-1Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo1-1Curico Unido
- Curico Unido1-2Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo0-0Curico Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Copiapo 1465 · Curico Unido 1516
| Deportes Copiapo | Draw | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Curico Unido (rating 1465 vs 1516).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Copiapo | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 5.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Copiapo 1–5–0 Curico Unido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 20/07/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Curico Unido |
| 03/03/25 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 06/08/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Curico Unido |
| 17/02/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Curico Unido | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 09/04/17 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 37 | 22 | 35 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 35 | 32 |
| 4 | Union Espanola | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 30 |
| 6 | San Marcos De Arica | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 30 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 8 | San Luis Quillota | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 29 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 29 | 27 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 26 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 20 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 36 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Copiapo | Curico Unido |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis Quillota | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Temuco | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Rangers de Talca | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Copiapo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 02/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Curico Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 05/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Copiapo vs Curico Unido?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Copiapo win (47%). Probabilities: Deportes Copiapo 47%, draw 29%, Curico Unido 24%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Copiapo vs Curico Unido?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Deportes Copiapo 1.33 · Curico Unido 0.88), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Copiapo vs Curico Unido?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.