Football · Chile Primera B · 17/08, 02:00
Prediction: Deportes Iquique vs CD Antofagasta
Team pages: Deportes Iquique · CD Antofagasta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Deportes Iquique1.45
CD Antofagasta1.45
1X2
Deportes Iquique
Draw
CD Antofagasta
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Iquique
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
CD Antofagasta
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Iquique
2–4
CD Antofagasta
(6 last)
- CD Antofagasta4-0Deportes Iquique
- CD Antofagasta3-1Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique2-4CD Antofagasta
- Deportes Iquique3-1CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta2-1Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique3-0CD Antofagasta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Iquique 1521 · CD Antofagasta 1563
| Deportes Iquique | Draw | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Antofagasta (rating 1521 vs 1563).
- H2H favours CD Antofagasta: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Iquique | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Iquique 2–0–4 CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 11/05/25 Chile Cup | CD Antofagasta | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 26/01/25 Chile Cup | Deportes Iquique | 2-4 HT 1-2 | CD Antofagasta |
| 29/06/24 Chile Cup | Deportes Iquique | 3-1 HT 2-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 23/06/24 Chile Cup | CD Antofagasta | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Deportes Iquique |
| 26/11/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 37 | 22 | 35 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | CD Antofagasta | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | San Marcos De Arica | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 30 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 29 |
| 7 | Magallanes | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 29 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 29 | 27 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 26 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 02/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Iquique vs CD Antofagasta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Iquique win (36%). Probabilities: Deportes Iquique 36%, draw 27%, CD Antofagasta 36%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Iquique vs CD Antofagasta?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Deportes Iquique 1.45 · CD Antofagasta 1.45), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Iquique vs CD Antofagasta?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.