Football · Chile Primera B · 16/08, 18:30

Prediction: Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt

Team pages: Santiago Wanderers · Puerto Montt

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Santiago Wanderers1.36
Puerto Montt0.92
1X2
46% 29% 25%
Santiago Wanderers Draw Puerto Montt
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Wanderers 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLLWWLDD
Puerto Montt 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWWLWWDL
Head-to-head
Santiago Wanderers 4–2–0 Puerto Montt (6 last)
  • Puerto Montt0-2Santiago Wanderers
  • Puerto Montt0-2Santiago Wanderers
  • Santiago Wanderers3-1Puerto Montt
  • Puerto Montt1-1Santiago Wanderers
  • Santiago Wanderers2-0Puerto Montt
  • Santiago Wanderers1-1Puerto Montt
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santiago Wanderers 1477 · Puerto Montt 1510
Santiago WanderersDrawPuerto Montt
Our model46%30%24%
Market47%27%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Santiago Wanderers: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santiago WanderersPuerto Montt
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 21.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.10.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%10/90/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.32.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.54.7 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Wanderers 420 Puerto Montt

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Chile Primera B
Puerto Montt0-2
HT 0-2
Santiago Wanderers
15/07/23
Chile Primera B
Puerto Montt0-2
HT 0-0
Santiago Wanderers
26/02/23
Chile Primera B
Santiago Wanderers3-1
HT 2-0
Puerto Montt
28/08/22
Chile Primera B
Puerto Montt1-1
HT 1-0
Santiago Wanderers
16/04/22
Chile Primera B
Santiago Wanderers2-0
HT 1-0
Puerto Montt
17/08/19
Chile Primera B
Santiago Wanderers1-1
HT 1-0
Puerto Montt

Standings · Chile Primera B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cobreloa 19982 372235
2 Santiago Wanderers 19973 352034
3 CD Antofagasta 19865 322030
4 San Marcos De Arica 19793 231430
5 Puerto Montt 19937 211930
6 San Luis Quillota 19784 292529
7 Magallanes 19856 333329
8 Union Espanola 19847 262628
9 Deportes Copiapo 19766 262927
10 Deportes Recoleta 19757 292926
11 Deportes Temuco 19667 312824
12 Deportes Iquique 19496 262521
13 Curico Unido 19487 182820
14 Union San Felipe 19559 153420
15 Club Deportes Santa Cruz 19379 243416
16 Rangers de Talca 190613 14336

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSantiago WanderersPuerto Montt
CD Antofagasta 0-0 D 3-2 W
Club Deportes Santa Cruz 3-1 W 0-0 D
Union San Felipe 2-0 W 0-1 L
Union Espanola 2-2 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Santiago Wanderers (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santiago Wanderers

DLLLLWWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 CD Antofagasta
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-0 14 D
08/08 San Marcos De Arica
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-1 78 D
06/08 Union La Calera
Chile Cup
0-3 0-4 54 L
02/08 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Primera B
1-0 3-1 26 W
25/07 Union San Felipe
Chile Primera B
1-0 2-0 53 W
05/07 Universidad de Chile
Chile Cup
1-2 2-3 107 L
28/06 Union La Calera
Chile Cup
0-1 0-4 43 L
21/06 Universidad de Chile
Chile Cup
0-2 1-4 45 L
06/06 Deportes Copiapo
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-1 810 L
30/05 Union Espanola
Chile Primera B
1-2 2-2 77 D

Puerto Montt

LDWWWLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Union Espanola
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-1 44 L
08/08 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-0 23 D
02/08 Deportes Recoleta
Chile Primera B
1-0 1-0 25 W
26/07 CD Antofagasta
Chile Primera B
1-1 3-2 57 W
12/07 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Cup
0-0 0-2 13 L
05/07 Huachipato
Chile Cup
0-0 2-1 210 W
29/06 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Cup
0-0 2-0 25 W
21/06 Huachipato
Chile Cup
0-0 2-0 67 W
06/06 Cobreloa
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-1 96 D
30/05 Union San Felipe
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-1 41 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago Wanderers win (46%). Probabilities: Santiago Wanderers 46%, draw 29%, Puerto Montt 25%.

How many goals are expected in Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Santiago Wanderers 1.36 · Puerto Montt 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.