Football · Chile Primera B · 16/08, 21:00
Prediction: Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa
Team pages: Union San Felipe · Cobreloa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Union San Felipe1.04
Cobreloa1.27
1X2
Union San Felipe
Draw
Cobreloa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Union San Felipe
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Cobreloa
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union San Felipe
1–2–3
Cobreloa
(6 last)
- Cobreloa2-0Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe3-0Cobreloa
- Cobreloa1-1Union San Felipe
- Cobreloa1-0Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe2-2Cobreloa
- Cobreloa1-0Union San Felipe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union San Felipe 1478 · Cobreloa 1542
| Union San Felipe | Draw | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 31% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cobreloa (rating 1478 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Cobreloa: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union San Felipe | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.2 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union San Felipe 1–2–3 Cobreloa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 12/07/25 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cobreloa |
| 23/02/25 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 24/09/23 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 17/05/23 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Cobreloa |
| 26/09/22 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
Standings · Chile Primera B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 37 | 22 | 35 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | CD Antofagasta | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | San Marcos De Arica | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 30 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 29 |
| 7 | Magallanes | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 29 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 29 | 27 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 26 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union San Felipe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Cobreloa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cobreloa win (41%). Probabilities: Union San Felipe 30%, draw 29%, Cobreloa 41%.
How many goals are expected in Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Union San Felipe 1.04 · Cobreloa 1.27), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.