Football · Chile Primera B · 30/08, 18:30
Prediction: Deportes Copiapo vs CD Antofagasta
Team pages: Deportes Copiapo · CD Antofagasta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Deportes Copiapo1.3
CD Antofagasta1.25
1X2
Deportes Copiapo
Draw
CD Antofagasta
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Copiapo
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
CD Antofagasta
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Copiapo
1–1–4
CD Antofagasta
(6 last)
- CD Antofagasta1-0Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo1-1CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta1-0Deportes Copiapo
- CD Antofagasta2-1Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo4-0CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta2-1Deportes Copiapo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Copiapo 1465 · CD Antofagasta 1565
| Deportes Copiapo | Draw | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Antofagasta (rating 1465 vs 1565).
- H2H favours CD Antofagasta: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Copiapo | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.6 | 2.9 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Copiapo 1–1–4 CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 16/09/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 18/05/25 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 22/03/25 Chile Cup | CD Antofagasta | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 12/02/25 Chile Cup | Deportes Copiapo | 4-0 HT 2-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 16/06/18 Chile Cup | CD Antofagasta | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 34 |
| 5 | Union Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Copiapo | CD Antofagasta |
|---|---|---|
| Curico Unido | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Iquique | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Temuco | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Santiago Wanderers | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Union Espanola | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Copiapo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 02/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 17/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 02/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Copiapo vs CD Antofagasta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Copiapo win (37%). Probabilities: Deportes Copiapo 37%, draw 28%, CD Antofagasta 35%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Copiapo vs CD Antofagasta?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Deportes Copiapo 1.3 · CD Antofagasta 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Copiapo vs CD Antofagasta?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.