Football · Chile Primera B · 30/08, 02:00
Prediction: Deportes Iquique vs San Luis Quillota
Team pages: Deportes Iquique · San Luis Quillota
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Deportes Iquique1.66
San Luis Quillota1.2
1X2
Deportes Iquique
Draw
San Luis Quillota
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Iquique
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
San Luis Quillota
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Iquique
2–3–1
San Luis Quillota
(6 last)
- San Luis Quillota2-1Deportes Iquique
- San Luis Quillota0-1Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique3-2San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota0-0Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique1-1San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota1-1Deportes Iquique
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Iquique 1535 · San Luis Quillota 1547
| Deportes Iquique | Draw | San Luis Quillota | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Iquique: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Iquique | San Luis Quillota | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 3.4 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.5 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Iquique 2–3–1 San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/26 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Deportes Iquique |
| 15/07/23 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Iquique |
| 26/02/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 3-2 HT 1-1 | San Luis Quillota |
| 04/10/22 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 07/05/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-1 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 16/09/21 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportes Iquique |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 34 |
| 5 | Union Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Iquique | San Luis Quillota |
|---|---|---|
| Puerto Montt | 4-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Deportes Copiapo | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| San Marcos De Arica | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Temuco | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Magallanes | 3-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Curico Unido | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 18/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Iquique vs San Luis Quillota?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Iquique win (47%). Probabilities: Deportes Iquique 47%, draw 26%, San Luis Quillota 26%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Iquique vs San Luis Quillota?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Deportes Iquique 1.66 · San Luis Quillota 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Iquique vs San Luis Quillota?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.