Football · Chile Primera B · 30/08, 21:00
Prediction: Deportes Temuco vs Puerto Montt
Team pages: Deportes Temuco · Puerto Montt
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Deportes Temuco1.41
Puerto Montt1.03
1X2
Deportes Temuco
Draw
Puerto Montt
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Temuco
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Puerto Montt
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Temuco
3–1–2
Puerto Montt
(6 last)
- Puerto Montt1-0Deportes Temuco
- Deportes Temuco2-1Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt1-1Deportes Temuco
- Deportes Temuco2-1Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt2-0Deportes Temuco
- Deportes Temuco3-0Puerto Montt
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Temuco 1426 · Puerto Montt 1478
| Deportes Temuco | Draw | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puerto Montt (rating 1426 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Deportes Temuco: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Temuco | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 2.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Temuco 3–1–2 Puerto Montt
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Temuco |
| 07/02/26 Chile Cup | Deportes Temuco | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 31/01/26 Chile Cup | Puerto Montt | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportes Temuco |
| 29/06/24 Chile Cup | Deportes Temuco | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Puerto Montt |
| 22/06/24 Chile Cup | Puerto Montt | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Temuco |
| 02/07/23 Chile Cup | Deportes Temuco | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Puerto Montt |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 34 |
| 5 | Union Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Temuco | Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| CD Antofagasta | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| San Luis Quillota | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Deportes Iquique | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| San Marcos De Arica | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Union San Felipe | 5-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Temuco (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Temuco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 18/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Temuco vs Puerto Montt?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Temuco win (45%). Probabilities: Deportes Temuco 45%, draw 28%, Puerto Montt 27%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Temuco vs Puerto Montt?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Deportes Temuco 1.41 · Puerto Montt 1.03), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Temuco vs Puerto Montt?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.