Football · Chile Primera B · 29/08, 23:30

Prediction: Union Espanola vs Rangers de Talca

Team pages: Union Espanola · Rangers de Talca

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Union Espanola1.47
Rangers de Talca1.07
1X2
46% 27% 27%
Union Espanola Draw Rangers de Talca
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Espanola 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLDDWLLWWW
Rangers de Talca 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLDDDLLW
Head-to-head
Union Espanola 0–1–1 Rangers de Talca (2 last)
  • Rangers de Talca1-1Union Espanola
  • Rangers de Talca5-3Union Espanola
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Espanola 1495 · Rangers de Talca 1421
Union EspanolaDrawRangers de Talca
Our model45%29%26%
Market46%26%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Espanola (rating 1495 vs 1421).
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union EspanolaRangers de Talca
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.60.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 10.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.82.3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.24.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola 011 Rangers de Talca

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Chile Primera B
Rangers de Talca1-1
HT 1-1
Union Espanola
09/02/24
Club Friendly List
Rangers de Talca5-3
HT 2-0
Union Espanola

Standings · Chile Primera B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Santiago Wanderers 211083 372138
2 Cobreloa 211083 382338
3 Magallanes 211056 373535
4 CD Antofagasta 21975 362234
5 Union Espanola 211047 292734
6 San Luis Quillota 21885 312632
7 Puerto Montt 21948 222431
8 San Marcos De Arica 21795 251830
9 Deportes Recoleta 21867 323130
10 Deportes Copiapo 21867 313130
11 Deportes Iquique 215106 312625
12 Deportes Temuco 21678 333225
13 Curico Unido 21588 203220
14 Union San Felipe 215511 153720
15 Club Deportes Santa Cruz 213711 243716
16 Rangers de Talca 211614 18379

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion EspanolaRangers de Talca
Cobreloa 1-0 W 0-2 L
San Marcos De Arica 2-1 W 2-1 W
Magallanes 2-3 L 2-3 L
Deportes Recoleta 2-1 W 2-4 L
Union San Felipe 2-2 D 1-2 L
Santiago Wanderers 2-2 D 0-2 L
Deportes Copiapo 1-3 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Union Espanola (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Espanola

WLDDWLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Cobreloa
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-0 02 W
16/08 San Marcos De Arica
Chile Primera B
2-1 2-1 46 W
12/08 Puerto Montt
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-0 24 W
08/08 CD Antofagasta
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-3 53 L
02/08 Magallanes
Chile Primera B
1-2 2-3 74 L
28/07 Deportes Recoleta
Chile Primera B
0-0 2-1 75 W
09/06 Union San Felipe
Chile Primera B
1-1 2-2 64 D
30/05 Santiago Wanderers
Chile Primera B
2-1 2-2 27 D
26/05 Deportes Copiapo
Chile Primera B
1-3 1-3 32 L
19/05 Deportes Iquique
Chile Primera B
0-1 2-1 26 W

Rangers de Talca

LLLLDDDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 San Marcos De Arica
Chile Primera B
1-1 2-1 03 W
15/08 Magallanes
Chile Primera B
2-1 2-3 68 L
13/08 Deportes Recoleta
Chile Primera B
1-1 2-4 56 L
09/08 Curico Unido
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-0 157 D
01/08 San Luis Quillota
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-1 43 D
26/07 Deportes Copiapo
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-0 75 D
07/06 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-1 75 L
31/05 Cobreloa
Chile Primera B
0-2 0-2 56 L
23/05 Santiago Wanderers
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-2 66 L
16/05 Union San Felipe
Chile Primera B
0-1 1-2 64 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Espanola vs Rangers de Talca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Espanola win (46%). Probabilities: Union Espanola 46%, draw 27%, Rangers de Talca 27%.

How many goals are expected in Union Espanola vs Rangers de Talca?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Union Espanola 1.47 · Rangers de Talca 1.07), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Espanola vs Rangers de Talca?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.