Football · Chile Primera B · 30/08, 23:30
Prediction: Curico Unido vs Deportes Recoleta
Team pages: Curico Unido · Deportes Recoleta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Curico Unido1.43
Deportes Recoleta1.1
1X2
Curico Unido
Draw
Deportes Recoleta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Curico Unido
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Deportes Recoleta
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Curico Unido
1–3–1
Deportes Recoleta
(5 last)
- Deportes Recoleta2-2Curico Unido
- Deportes Recoleta1-1Curico Unido
- Curico Unido1-1Deportes Recoleta
- Curico Unido1-0Deportes Recoleta
- Deportes Recoleta2-1Curico Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Curico Unido 1498 · Deportes Recoleta 1462
| Curico Unido | Draw | Deportes Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 44% | 27% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Curico Unido | Deportes Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.9 | 2.8 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.6 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Curico Unido 1–3–1 Deportes Recoleta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Curico Unido |
| 25/10/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 14/06/25 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 06/08/24 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 23/03/24 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Curico Unido |
Standings · Chile Primera B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 34 |
| 5 | Union Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Curico Unido | Deportes Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Union San Felipe | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Copiapo | 0-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Rangers de Talca | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Cobreloa | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| San Luis Quillota | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Temuco | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Iquique | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 5 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Recoleta (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Curico Unido
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Deportes Recoleta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 28/07 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Curico Unido vs Deportes Recoleta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Curico Unido win (44%). Probabilities: Curico Unido 44%, draw 28%, Deportes Recoleta 28%.
How many goals are expected in Curico Unido vs Deportes Recoleta?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Curico Unido 1.43 · Deportes Recoleta 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Curico Unido vs Deportes Recoleta?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.