Football · Chile Primera B · 22/08, 18:30
Prediction: Deportes Recoleta vs Deportes Copiapo
Team pages: Deportes Recoleta · Deportes Copiapo
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Deportes Recoleta1.52
Deportes Copiapo1.23
1X2
Deportes Recoleta
Draw
Deportes Copiapo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Recoleta
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Deportes Copiapo
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Recoleta
2–3
Deportes Copiapo
(5 last)
- Deportes Copiapo2-4Deportes Recoleta
- Deportes Recoleta0-1Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo3-0Deportes Recoleta
- Deportes Copiapo3-2Deportes Recoleta
- Deportes Recoleta3-1Deportes Copiapo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Recoleta 1478 · Deportes Copiapo 1486
| Deportes Recoleta | Draw | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Copiapo: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Recoleta | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.4 | 3.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Recoleta 2–0–3 Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 04/10/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 24/05/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 30/08/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 16/04/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 35 |
| 3 | San Luis Quillota | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 32 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 35 | 32 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 31 |
| 6 | Puerto Montt | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | Union Espanola | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 27 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 22 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Recoleta | Deportes Copiapo |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Temuco | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Rangers de Talca | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Union San Felipe | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Union Espanola | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Deportes Iquique | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| San Luis Quillota | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Cobreloa | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 5 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Recoleta (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Recoleta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 28/07 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 02/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Recoleta vs Deportes Copiapo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Recoleta win (43%). Probabilities: Deportes Recoleta 43%, draw 27%, Deportes Copiapo 30%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Recoleta vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Deportes Recoleta 1.52 · Deportes Copiapo 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Recoleta vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.