Football · Chile Primera B · 11/10, 20:00

Prediction: Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa

Team pages: Deportes Copiapo · Cobreloa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Deportes Copiapo1.55

Cobreloa1.3

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Deportes Copiapo Draw Cobreloa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportes Copiapo 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLLDWW

Cobreloa 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWLDWW

Head-to-head

Deportes Copiapo 0–3–3 Cobreloa (6 last)

Cobreloa4-1Deportes Copiapo
Cobreloa1-1Deportes Copiapo
Cobreloa3-0Deportes Copiapo
Deportes Copiapo1-1Cobreloa
Deportes Copiapo1-1Cobreloa
Cobreloa4-1Deportes Copiapo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Copiapo 1499 · Cobreloa 1515

	Deportes Copiapo	Draw	Cobreloa
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cobreloa: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportes Copiapo	Cobreloa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.6	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/90/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.3	1.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.30

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 20:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.15▼	Pinn 2.18
X	3.25 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.51 ★
2	2.50 → 2.90▲	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:16 +8’	2.50	3.25	2.50
03:37 +23’	2.05▼	3.30▲	3.10▲
13:28 +6’	2.10▲	3.30	3.00▼
19:55 +29’	2.15▲	3.30	2.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:02 +22’	2.10	3.51	3.03
07:29 +65’	2.18▲	3.51	2.87▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Copiapo 0–3–3 Cobreloa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Chile Primera B	Cobreloa	4-1 HT 2-0	Deportes Copiapo
24/08/25 Chile Primera B	Cobreloa	1-1 HT 0-0	Deportes Copiapo
10/05/25 Chile Cup	Cobreloa	3-0 HT 1-0	Deportes Copiapo
19/04/25 Chile Primera B	Deportes Copiapo	1-1 HT 0-0	Cobreloa
29/01/25 Chile Cup	Deportes Copiapo	1-1 HT 1-0	Cobreloa
08/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera	Cobreloa	4-1 HT 1-0	Deportes Copiapo

Standings · Chile Primera B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cobreloa	26	13	9	4	44	27	48
2	San Luis Quillota	26	13	8	5	41	29	47
3	Magallanes	27	13	7	7	44	39	46
4	Santiago Wanderers	27	12	8	7	42	30	44
5	CD Antofagasta	26	11	8	7	44	26	41
6	Deportes Recoleta	27	11	8	8	39	36	41
7	San Marcos De Arica	26	10	9	7	33	24	39
8	Deportes Copiapo	26	10	7	9	40	39	37
9	Union Espanola	26	10	6	10	32	34	36
10	Deportes Temuco	27	9	8	10	42	37	35
11	Puerto Montt	26	10	4	12	26	34	34
12	Deportes Iquique	26	7	10	9	35	30	31
13	Curico Unido	27	7	9	11	24	40	27
14	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	27	4	10	13	28	42	22
15	Union San Felipe	26	5	7	14	16	44	22
16	Rangers de Talca	26	4	6	16	23	42	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportes Copiapo	Cobreloa
Union San Felipe	4-1 W	1-0 W
Magallanes	1-1 D	2-2 D
San Marcos De Arica	1-2 L	2-0 W
CD Antofagasta	0-4 L	0-0 D
Curico Unido	4-0 W	0-0 D
Deportes Iquique	0-4 L	1-1 D
San Luis Quillota	1-1 D	2-4 L
Deportes Temuco	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Copiapo (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Copiapo

WDLWLLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Puerto Montt Chile Primera B	1-0	3-0	9	4	W
26/09	Union San Felipe Chile Primera B	1-0	4-1	2	3	W
10/09	Magallanes Chile Primera B	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
06/09	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	1-0	1-2	2	9	L
30/08	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
22/08	Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B	1-1	1-2	7	3	L
18/08	Curico Unido Chile Primera B	2-0	4-0	9	6	W
14/08	Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B	0-1	0-4	6	2	L
09/08	San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
04/08	Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B	1-1	4-1	9	3	W

Cobreloa

DDDWLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
26/09	Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
11/09	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
05/09	San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B	0-2	2-4	7	7	L
01/09	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	0-0	2-0	1	5	W
22/08	Union Espanola Chile Primera B	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
16/08	Union San Felipe Chile Primera B	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
12/08	Magallanes Chile Primera B	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
01/08	Curico Unido Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Copiapo win (42%). Probabilities: Deportes Copiapo 42%, draw 27%, Cobreloa 31%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Deportes Copiapo 1.55 · Cobreloa 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.