Football · Chile Primera B · 18/10, 17:30
Prediction: Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco
Team pages: Union San Felipe · Deportes Temuco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Union San Felipe1.17
Deportes Temuco1.27
1X2
Union San Felipe
Draw
Deportes Temuco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union San Felipe
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Deportes Temuco
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union San Felipe
1–5
Deportes Temuco
(6 last)
- Deportes Temuco5-0Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe1-0Deportes Temuco
- Deportes Temuco2-1Union San Felipe
- Deportes Temuco4-0Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe2-3Deportes Temuco
- Deportes Temuco2-1Union San Felipe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union San Felipe 1414 · Deportes Temuco 1499
| Union San Felipe | Draw | Deportes Temuco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Temuco (rating 1414 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Deportes Temuco: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union San Felipe | Deportes Temuco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.2 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.8 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union San Felipe 1–0–5 Deportes Temuco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 26/07/25 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Temuco |
| 08/03/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 24/08/24 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 14/04/24 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Deportes Temuco |
| 20/08/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Union San Felipe |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis Quillota | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 50 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 29 | 48 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 39 | 46 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 44 |
| 5 | Santiago Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 44 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 7 | Deportes Copiapo | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 40 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 39 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 37 | 35 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 34 |
| 12 | Puerto Montt | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 34 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 27 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 48 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 42 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union San Felipe | Deportes Temuco |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers de Talca | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| San Luis Quillota | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Magallanes | 0-0 D | 3-4 L |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Cobreloa | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Recoleta | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Temuco (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-4 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 30/09 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
Deportes Temuco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/09 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/09 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 18/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportes Temuco win (38%). Probabilities: Union San Felipe 33%, draw 29%, Deportes Temuco 38%.
How many goals are expected in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Union San Felipe 1.17 · Deportes Temuco 1.27), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.