Football · Chile Primera B · 20/10, 00:00
Prediction: Union Espanola vs Deportes Copiapo
Team pages: Union Espanola · Deportes Copiapo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Union Espanola1.57
Deportes Copiapo1.23
1X2
Union Espanola
Draw
Deportes Copiapo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Espanola
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Deportes Copiapo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Espanola
3–2
Deportes Copiapo
(5 last)
- Deportes Copiapo3-1Union Espanola
- Deportes Copiapo2-3Union Espanola
- Union Espanola5-3Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo4-3Union Espanola
- Union Espanola3-0Deportes Copiapo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Espanola 1453 · Deportes Copiapo 1510
| Union Espanola | Draw | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 27% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Copiapo (rating 1453 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Union Espanola: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Espanola | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.5 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola 3–0–2 Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Union Espanola |
| 15/09/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Copiapo | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola |
| 21/04/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 5-3 HT 3-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 26/08/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Copiapo | 4-3 HT 3-0 | Union Espanola |
| 05/03/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis Quillota | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 50 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 29 | 48 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 39 | 46 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 44 |
| 5 | Santiago Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 44 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 7 | Deportes Copiapo | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 40 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 39 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 37 | 35 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 34 |
| 12 | Puerto Montt | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 34 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 27 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 48 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 42 | 21 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Espanola | Deportes Copiapo |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| San Luis Quillota | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Curico Unido | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Cobreloa | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| San Marcos De Arica | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Puerto Montt | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| CD Antofagasta | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Espanola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 09/09 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 30/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Espanola vs Deportes Copiapo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Espanola win (44%). Probabilities: Union Espanola 44%, draw 27%, Deportes Copiapo 29%.
How many goals are expected in Union Espanola vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Union Espanola 1.57 · Deportes Copiapo 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Espanola vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.