Football · Chile Primera B · 18/10, 17:30
Prediction: Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique
Team pages: Curico Unido · Deportes Iquique
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Curico Unido1.18
Deportes Iquique1.07
1X2
Curico Unido
Draw
Deportes Iquique
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Curico Unido
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Deportes Iquique
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Curico Unido
2–3–1
Deportes Iquique
(6 last)
- Deportes Iquique1-1Curico Unido
- Deportes Iquique1-2Curico Unido
- Curico Unido1-0Deportes Iquique
- Curico Unido1-2Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique0-0Curico Unido
- Curico Unido0-0Deportes Iquique
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Curico Unido 1449 · Deportes Iquique 1517
| Curico Unido | Draw | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Iquique (rating 1449 vs 1517).
- H2H favours Curico Unido: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Curico Unido | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.9 | 4.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Curico Unido 2–3–1 Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 14/11/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Iquique | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Curico Unido |
| 09/02/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Curico Unido | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 31/08/19 Chile Liga de Primera | Curico Unido | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportes Iquique |
| 16/02/19 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Iquique | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 12/08/18 Chile Liga de Primera | Curico Unido | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Iquique |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis Quillota | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 50 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 29 | 48 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 39 | 46 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 44 |
| 5 | Santiago Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 44 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 7 | Deportes Copiapo | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 40 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 39 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 37 | 35 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 34 |
| 12 | Puerto Montt | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 34 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 27 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 48 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 42 | 21 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Curico Unido | Deportes Iquique |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Union Espanola | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Puerto Montt | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Union San Felipe | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Deportes Copiapo | 0-4 L | 4-0 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Rangers de Talca | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Iquique (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Curico Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/09 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 14/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/09 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 05/09 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Curico Unido win (38%). Probabilities: Curico Unido 38%, draw 30%, Deportes Iquique 32%.
How many goals are expected in Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Curico Unido 1.18 · Deportes Iquique 1.07), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.