Football · Chile Primera B · 12/10, 20:00
Prediction: Rangers de Talca vs Union San Felipe
Team pages: Rangers de Talca · Union San Felipe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Rangers de Talca1.51
Union San Felipe0.73
1X2
Rangers de Talca
Draw
Union San Felipe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Rangers de Talca
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Union San Felipe
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rangers de Talca
3–1–2
Union San Felipe
(6 last)
- Union San Felipe2-1Rangers de Talca
- Rangers de Talca2-1Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe0-2Rangers de Talca
- Rangers de Talca1-1Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe1-2Rangers de Talca
- Union San Felipe4-1Rangers de Talca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rangers de Talca 1486 · Union San Felipe 1423
| Rangers de Talca | Draw | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 28% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rangers de Talca (rating 1486 vs 1423).
- H2H favours Rangers de Talca: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rangers de Talca | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2.6 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.6 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rangers de Talca 3–1–2 Union San Felipe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 14/09/25 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 17/05/25 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 08/09/24 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 29/04/24 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Rangers de Talca |
| 26/08/23 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Rangers de Talca |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis Quillota | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 47 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 39 | 46 |
| 4 | Santiago Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 44 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 26 | 41 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 39 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 39 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 34 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 37 | 35 |
| 11 | Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 34 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 27 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 42 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rangers de Talca | Union San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| CD Antofagasta | 0-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Deportes Iquique | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| San Marcos De Arica | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Magallanes | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Recoleta | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Curico Unido | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| San Luis Quillota | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Rangers de Talca (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/09 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 08/09 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 13/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 30/09 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rangers de Talca vs Union San Felipe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rangers de Talca win (56%). Probabilities: Rangers de Talca 56%, draw 26%, Union San Felipe 18%.
How many goals are expected in Rangers de Talca vs Union San Felipe?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Rangers de Talca 1.51 · Union San Felipe 0.73), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rangers de Talca vs Union San Felipe?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.