Football · Chile Primera B · 10/10, 20:00
Prediction: Santiago Wanderers vs Curico Unido
Team pages: Santiago Wanderers · Curico Unido
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Santiago Wanderers1.34
Curico Unido0.96
1X2
Santiago Wanderers
Draw
Curico Unido
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Wanderers
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Curico Unido
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santiago Wanderers
2–3–1
Curico Unido
(6 last)
- Curico Unido0-3Santiago Wanderers
- Curico Unido1-0Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers2-1Curico Unido
- Curico Unido2-2Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers2-2Curico Unido
- Santiago Wanderers1-1Curico Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Wanderers 1501 · Curico Unido 1440
| Santiago Wanderers | Draw | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Wanderers (rating 1501 vs 1440).
- H2H favours Santiago Wanderers: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santiago Wanderers | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.9 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.9 | 4 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Wanderers 2–3–1 Curico Unido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 18/10/25 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 06/07/25 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Curico Unido |
| 08/10/24 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 19/05/24 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Curico Unido |
| 26/06/22 Chile Cup | Santiago Wanderers | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Curico Unido |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis Quillota | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 47 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 38 | 43 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 26 | 41 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 39 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 39 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 34 | 36 |
| 10 | Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 34 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 24 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 40 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 42 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santiago Wanderers | Curico Unido |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Cobreloa | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Magallanes | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Puerto Montt | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| San Marcos De Arica | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Santiago Wanderers (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/09 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Curico Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/09 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 14/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Wanderers vs Curico Unido?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago Wanderers win (45%). Probabilities: Santiago Wanderers 45%, draw 28%, Curico Unido 26%.
How many goals are expected in Santiago Wanderers vs Curico Unido?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Santiago Wanderers 1.34 · Curico Unido 0.96), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Santiago Wanderers vs Curico Unido?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.