Football · Chile Primera B · 25/10, 19:00
Prediction: Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos De Arica
Team pages: Deportes Temuco · San Marcos De Arica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Deportes Temuco1.33
San Marcos De Arica1.15
1X2
Deportes Temuco
Draw
San Marcos De Arica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Temuco
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
San Marcos De Arica
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Temuco
3–2–1
San Marcos De Arica
(6 last)
- San Marcos De Arica0-1Deportes Temuco
- San Marcos De Arica0-0Deportes Temuco
- Deportes Temuco1-3San Marcos De Arica
- Deportes Temuco0-0San Marcos De Arica
- San Marcos De Arica0-1Deportes Temuco
- San Marcos De Arica1-2Deportes Temuco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Temuco 1498 · San Marcos De Arica 1460
| Deportes Temuco | Draw | San Marcos De Arica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Temuco: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Temuco | San Marcos De Arica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.5 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Temuco 3–2–1 San Marcos De Arica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Temuco |
| 10/08/25 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Temuco |
| 01/04/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 1-3 HT 0-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 13/07/24 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 26/02/24 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Temuco |
| 28/08/23 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Deportes Temuco |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis Quillota | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 53 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 47 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 46 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 45 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 42 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 40 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 35 |
| 12 | Puerto Montt | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 42 | 28 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 23 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 46 | 21 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Temuco | San Marcos De Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Union San Felipe | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Cobreloa | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Union Espanola | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Rangers de Talca | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Puerto Montt | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| CD Antofagasta | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Temuco (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Temuco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/09 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/09 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 18/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
San Marcos De Arica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 09/09 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 01/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos De Arica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Temuco win (40%). Probabilities: Deportes Temuco 40%, draw 29%, San Marcos De Arica 31%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos De Arica?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Deportes Temuco 1.33 · San Marcos De Arica 1.15), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos De Arica?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.