Football · Chile Primera B · 24/10, 22:30
Prediction: Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe
Team pages: Puerto Montt · Union San Felipe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Puerto Montt1.19
Union San Felipe0.82
1X2
Puerto Montt
Draw
Union San Felipe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Montt
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Union San Felipe
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Montt
3–1–2
Union San Felipe
(6 last)
- Union San Felipe1-0Puerto Montt
- Union San Felipe0-1Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt1-1Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe0-1Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt2-1Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe1-0Puerto Montt
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Montt 1418 · Union San Felipe 1432
| Puerto Montt | Draw | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 33% | 24% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Puerto Montt: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puerto Montt | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.7 | 0.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 2.4 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.6 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Montt 3–1–2 Union San Felipe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 14/10/23 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 03/06/23 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 11/11/22 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 06/11/22 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Union San Felipe |
| 17/10/22 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Puerto Montt |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis Quillota | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 53 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 47 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 46 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 45 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 42 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 40 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 35 |
| 12 | Puerto Montt | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 42 | 28 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 23 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 46 | 21 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Montt | Union San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| San Marcos De Arica | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| San Luis Quillota | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Copiapo | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Magallanes | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Rangers de Talca | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Curico Unido | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportes Temuco | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Deportes Iquique | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Union San Felipe (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/10 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/09 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 12/10 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-4 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 30/09 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Puerto Montt win (45%). Probabilities: Puerto Montt 45%, draw 29%, Union San Felipe 26%.
How many goals are expected in Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Puerto Montt 1.19 · Union San Felipe 0.82), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.