Football · Chile Primera B · 25/10, 21:30
Prediction: CD Antofagasta vs Curico Unido
Team pages: CD Antofagasta · Curico Unido
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
CD Antofagasta1.86
Curico Unido0.91
1X2
CD Antofagasta
Draw
Curico Unido
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Antofagasta
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Curico Unido
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Antofagasta
1–2–3
Curico Unido
(6 last)
- Curico Unido1-0CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta0-2Curico Unido
- Curico Unido1-0CD Antofagasta
- Curico Unido0-2CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta1-1Curico Unido
- CD Antofagasta0-0Curico Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Antofagasta 1554 · Curico Unido 1467
| CD Antofagasta | Draw | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Antofagasta (rating 1554 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Curico Unido: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Antofagasta | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Antofagasta 1–2–3 Curico Unido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/26 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 05/10/25 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Curico Unido |
| 25/05/25 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 20/10/24 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 02/06/24 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Curico Unido |
| 15/09/22 Chile Liga de Primera | CD Antofagasta | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis Quillota | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 53 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 47 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 46 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 45 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 42 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 40 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 35 |
| 12 | Puerto Montt | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 42 | 28 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 23 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 46 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Antofagasta | Curico Unido |
|---|---|---|
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| San Marcos De Arica | 3-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Copiapo | 4-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Deportes Iquique | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Santiago Wanderers | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Antofagasta (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 15/09 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 17/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
Curico Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/09 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 14/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Antofagasta vs Curico Unido?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Antofagasta win (59%). Probabilities: CD Antofagasta 59%, draw 24%, Curico Unido 17%.
How many goals are expected in CD Antofagasta vs Curico Unido?
The model expects 2.77 goals (CD Antofagasta 1.86 · Curico Unido 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Antofagasta vs Curico Unido?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.