Football · Chile Primera B · 24/10, 22:30
Prediction: Deportes Copiapo vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Team pages: Deportes Copiapo · Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Deportes Copiapo1.38
Club Deportes Santa Cruz1.16
1X2
Deportes Copiapo
Draw
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Copiapo
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Copiapo
4–2–0
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
(6 last)
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz1-1Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo2-0Club Deportes Santa Cruz
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz0-1Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo4-2Club Deportes Santa Cruz
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz2-2Deportes Copiapo
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz1-2Deportes Copiapo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Copiapo 1493 · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1448
| Deportes Copiapo | Draw | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Copiapo (rating 1493 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Deportes Copiapo: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Copiapo | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Copiapo 4–2–0 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/26 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 30/08/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 26/04/25 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 13/09/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 26/04/22 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 08/10/21 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis Quillota | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 53 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 47 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 46 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 45 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 42 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 40 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 35 |
| 12 | Puerto Montt | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 42 | 28 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 23 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 46 | 21 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Copiapo | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Union Espanola | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Union San Felipe | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Magallanes | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| San Marcos De Arica | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| CD Antofagasta | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Curico Unido | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportes Iquique | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Deportes Santa Cruz (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 11/10 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 30/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/09 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 11 | W |
| 05/09 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 18/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 14/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Copiapo vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Copiapo win (41%). Probabilities: Deportes Copiapo 41%, draw 28%, Club Deportes Santa Cruz 31%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Copiapo vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Deportes Copiapo 1.38 · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Copiapo vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.