Football · Chile Primera B · 24/10, 22:30
Prediction: Union Espanola vs Santiago Wanderers
Team pages: Union Espanola · Santiago Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Union Espanola1.46
Santiago Wanderers0.98
1X2
Union Espanola
Draw
Santiago Wanderers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Espanola
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Santiago Wanderers
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Espanola
3–2–1
Santiago Wanderers
(6 last)
- Santiago Wanderers2-2Union Espanola
- Santiago Wanderers1-2Union Espanola
- Union Espanola3-1Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers1-0Union Espanola
- Union Espanola2-1Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers0-0Union Espanola
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Espanola 1490 · Santiago Wanderers 1480
| Union Espanola | Draw | Santiago Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 48% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Union Espanola: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Espanola | Santiago Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.9 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.6 | 3.4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola 3–2–1 Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Union Espanola |
| 26/08/21 Chile Liga de Primera | Santiago Wanderers | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Union Espanola |
| 28/03/21 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 20/11/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Santiago Wanderers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola |
| 08/09/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 30/07/17 Chile Apertura | Santiago Wanderers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis Quillota | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 53 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 47 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 46 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 45 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 42 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 40 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 35 |
| 12 | Puerto Montt | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 42 | 28 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 23 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 46 | 21 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Espanola | Santiago Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| San Luis Quillota | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Temuco | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Curico Unido | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Rangers de Talca | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Cobreloa | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Puerto Montt | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Espanola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 12/10 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 09/09 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/09 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Espanola vs Santiago Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Espanola win (48%). Probabilities: Union Espanola 48%, draw 27%, Santiago Wanderers 25%.
How many goals are expected in Union Espanola vs Santiago Wanderers?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Union Espanola 1.46 · Santiago Wanderers 0.98), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Espanola vs Santiago Wanderers?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.