Football · Chile Primera B · 24/10, 22:30
Prediction: San Luis Quillota vs Deportes Recoleta
Team pages: San Luis Quillota · Deportes Recoleta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
San Luis Quillota1.72
Deportes Recoleta0.95
1X2
San Luis Quillota
Draw
Deportes Recoleta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
San Luis Quillota
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Deportes Recoleta
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Luis Quillota
3–2–1
Deportes Recoleta
(6 last)
- Deportes Recoleta0-0San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota0-0Deportes Recoleta
- Deportes Recoleta3-1San Luis Quillota
- Deportes Recoleta1-2San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota1-0Deportes Recoleta
- Deportes Recoleta2-3San Luis Quillota
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Luis Quillota 1589 · Deportes Recoleta 1508
| San Luis Quillota | Draw | Deportes Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Luis Quillota (rating 1589 vs 1508).
- H2H favours San Luis Quillota: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Luis Quillota | Deportes Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.9 | 2.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.7 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis Quillota 3–2–1 Deportes Recoleta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 14/10/25 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 30/05/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 3-1 HT 1-1 | San Luis Quillota |
| 13/09/24 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 1-2 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 05/05/24 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 27/08/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 2-3 HT 1-1 | San Luis Quillota |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis Quillota | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 53 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 47 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 46 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 45 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 42 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 40 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 35 |
| 12 | Puerto Montt | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 42 | 28 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 23 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 46 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Luis Quillota | Deportes Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Magallanes | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CD Antofagasta | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Cobreloa | 4-2 W | 1-6 L |
| Santiago Wanderers | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Temuco | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: San Luis Quillota (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 12/10 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 18/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
Deportes Recoleta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Luis Quillota vs Deportes Recoleta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Luis Quillota win (55%). Probabilities: San Luis Quillota 55%, draw 25%, Deportes Recoleta 20%.
How many goals are expected in San Luis Quillota vs Deportes Recoleta?
The model expects 2.66 goals (San Luis Quillota 1.72 · Deportes Recoleta 0.95), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in San Luis Quillota vs Deportes Recoleta?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.