Football · Chile Primera B · 17/10, 17:30
Prediction: Magallanes vs San Luis Quillota
Team pages: Magallanes · San Luis Quillota
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Magallanes1.34
San Luis Quillota1.2
1X2
Magallanes
Draw
San Luis Quillota
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Magallanes
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
San Luis Quillota
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Magallanes
5–1
San Luis Quillota
(6 last)
- San Luis Quillota2-1Magallanes
- San Luis Quillota0-1Magallanes
- Magallanes1-0San Luis Quillota
- Magallanes7-1San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota0-1Magallanes
- Magallanes3-0San Luis Quillota
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magallanes 1549 · San Luis Quillota 1581
| Magallanes | Draw | San Luis Quillota | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Magallanes: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes | San Luis Quillota | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.8 | 2.2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes 5–0–1 San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Magallanes |
| 09/08/25 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 30/03/25 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 19/10/24 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 7-1 HT 3-1 | San Luis Quillota |
| 03/06/24 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 09/07/22 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 3-0 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis Quillota | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 50 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 29 | 48 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 39 | 46 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 44 |
| 5 | Santiago Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 44 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 7 | Deportes Copiapo | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 40 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 39 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 37 | 35 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 34 |
| 12 | Puerto Montt | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 34 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 27 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 48 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 42 | 21 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Magallanes | San Luis Quillota |
|---|---|---|
| Puerto Montt | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Union San Felipe | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Santiago Wanderers | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Cobreloa | 2-2 D | 4-2 W |
| Deportes Temuco | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: San Luis Quillota (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 18/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes vs San Luis Quillota?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Magallanes win (39%). Probabilities: Magallanes 39%, draw 28%, San Luis Quillota 33%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs San Luis Quillota?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Magallanes 1.34 · San Luis Quillota 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes vs San Luis Quillota?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.