Football · Chile Primera B · 16/10, 23:00

Prediction: Santiago Wanderers vs Rangers de Talca

Team pages: Santiago Wanderers · Rangers de Talca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Santiago Wanderers1.28

Rangers de Talca1.08

1X2

40% 29% 30%

Santiago Wanderers Draw Rangers de Talca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Santiago Wanderers 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDDWWWLLLL

Rangers de Talca 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Santiago Wanderers 2–3–1 Rangers de Talca (6 last)

Rangers de Talca0-2Santiago Wanderers
Santiago Wanderers0-0Rangers de Talca
Rangers de Talca3-3Santiago Wanderers
Santiago Wanderers4-0Rangers de Talca
Rangers de Talca1-0Santiago Wanderers
Rangers de Talca0-0Santiago Wanderers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santiago Wanderers 1493 · Rangers de Talca 1503

	Santiago Wanderers	Draw	Rangers de Talca
Our model	40%	30%	30%
Market	41%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Santiago Wanderers: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Santiago Wanderers	Rangers de Talca
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.7	4.4 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.10

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.23
X	3.30 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.28 ★
2	3.40 → 2.90▼	Pinn 2.96

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:47 +8’	1.90	3.30	3.40
23:15 +8’	2.15▲	3.20▼	2.90▼
01:02 +4’	2.20▲	3.10▼	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:54 +2’	2.28	3.26	2.89
14:41 +48’	2.23▼	3.28▲	2.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Wanderers 2–3–1 Rangers de Talca

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Chile Primera B	Rangers de Talca	0-2 HT 0-1	Santiago Wanderers
31/08/25 Chile Primera B	Santiago Wanderers	0-0 HT 0-0	Rangers de Talca
26/04/25 Chile Primera B	Rangers de Talca	3-3 HT 0-3	Santiago Wanderers
18/08/24 Chile Primera B	Santiago Wanderers	4-0 HT 2-0	Rangers de Talca
06/04/24 Chile Primera B	Rangers de Talca	1-0 HT 1-0	Santiago Wanderers
27/09/23 Chile Primera B	Rangers de Talca	0-0 HT 0-0	Santiago Wanderers

Standings · Chile Primera B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Luis Quillota	27	14	8	5	42	29	50
2	Cobreloa	27	13	9	5	45	29	48
3	Magallanes	27	13	7	7	44	39	46
4	CD Antofagasta	27	12	8	7	47	26	44
5	Santiago Wanderers	27	12	8	7	42	30	44
6	Deportes Recoleta	27	11	8	8	39	36	41
7	Deportes Copiapo	27	11	7	9	42	40	40
8	San Marcos De Arica	27	10	9	8	33	27	39
9	Union Espanola	27	10	6	11	32	35	36
10	Deportes Temuco	27	9	8	10	42	37	35
11	Deportes Iquique	27	8	10	9	36	30	34
12	Puerto Montt	27	10	4	13	26	35	34
13	Curico Unido	27	7	9	11	24	40	27
14	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	27	4	10	13	28	42	22
15	Union San Felipe	27	5	7	15	16	48	22
16	Rangers de Talca	27	5	6	16	27	42	21

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santiago Wanderers	Rangers de Talca
Curico Unido	1-2 L	0-0 D
Deportes Recoleta	1-2 L	2-4 L
Deportes Temuco	0-3 L	1-0 W
Deportes Iquique	1-0 W	1-2 L
Magallanes	2-1 W	2-3 L
Puerto Montt	1-1 D	2-1 W
CD Antofagasta	0-0 D	0-2 L
San Marcos De Arica	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santiago Wanderers

DDDWWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Curico Unido Chile Primera B	1-0	1-2	8	4	L
03/10	Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
26/09	Cobreloa Chile Primera B	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
09/09	Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B	0-1	0-3	8	2	L
05/09	Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/08	Magallanes Chile Primera B	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
25/08	San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
16/08	Puerto Montt Chile Primera B	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
13/08	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
08/08	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	0-0	1-1	7	8	D

Rangers de Talca

DLLWWWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Union San Felipe Chile Primera B	4-0	4-0	5	5	W
04/10	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
15/09	Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
08/09	Puerto Montt Chile Primera B	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
05/09	Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
29/08	Union Espanola Chile Primera B	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/08	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	1-1	2-1	0	3	W
15/08	Magallanes Chile Primera B	2-1	2-3	6	8	L
13/08	Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B	1-1	2-4	5	6	L
09/08	Curico Unido Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santiago Wanderers vs Rangers de Talca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago Wanderers win (40%). Probabilities: Santiago Wanderers 40%, draw 29%, Rangers de Talca 30%.

How many goals are expected in Santiago Wanderers vs Rangers de Talca?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Santiago Wanderers 1.28 · Rangers de Talca 1.08), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Santiago Wanderers vs Rangers de Talca?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.