Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 07/08, 12:30
Prediction: West Torrens Birkalla vs West Adelaide
Team pages: West Torrens Birkalla · West Adelaide
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
West Torrens Birkalla2.41
West Adelaide1.19
1X2
West Torrens Birkalla
Draw
West Adelaide
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
West Torrens Birkalla
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
West Adelaide
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
West Torrens Birkalla
4–2–0
West Adelaide
(6 last)
- West Adelaide1-2West Torrens Birkalla
- West Adelaide0-5West Torrens Birkalla
- West Torrens Birkalla1-1West Adelaide
- West Adelaide4-5West Torrens Birkalla
- West Adelaide1-1West Torrens Birkalla
- West Torrens Birkalla3-1West Adelaide
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · West Torrens Birkalla 1540 · West Adelaide 1509
| West Torrens Birkalla | Draw | West Adelaide | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 20% | 17% |
| Market | 64% | 19% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours West Torrens Birkalla: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| West Torrens Birkalla | West Adelaide | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.2 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.2 | 2.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · West Torrens Birkalla 4–2–0 West Adelaide
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | West Adelaide | 1-2 HT 0-1 | West Torrens Birkalla |
| 25/05/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | West Adelaide | 0-5 HT 0-2 | West Torrens Birkalla |
| 24/02/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | West Torrens Birkalla | 1-1 HT 0-0 | West Adelaide |
| 18/03/23 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | West Adelaide | 4-5 HT 2-3 | West Torrens Birkalla |
| 14/08/21 Australia South Australia State League 1 | West Adelaide | 1-1 HT 1-1 | West Torrens Birkalla |
| 29/05/21 Australia South Australia State League 1 | West Torrens Birkalla | 3-1 HT 3-0 | West Adelaide |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 25 | 41 |
| 3 | Metrostars | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 23 | 38 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 33 |
| 5 | Playford | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 32 |
| 6 | Croydon FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 38 | 29 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 26 |
| 8 | West Adelaide | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 25 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 10 | Campbelltown City | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 35 | 23 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 35 | 16 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 93 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | West Torrens Birkalla | West Adelaide |
|---|---|---|
| Playford | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Adelaide City | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Para Hills Knights | 11-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Metrostars | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Sturt Lions | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| White City FK Beograd | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Campbelltown City | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Croydon FC | 1-0 W | 5-5 D |
| Adelaide Comets | 4-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: West Torrens Birkalla (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
West Torrens Birkalla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 17/07 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
4-0 | 11-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 05/06 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
West Adelaide
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
4-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 12/06 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in West Torrens Birkalla vs West Adelaide?
According to our model, the most likely result is a West Torrens Birkalla win (64%). Probabilities: West Torrens Birkalla 64%, draw 19%, West Adelaide 17%.
How many goals are expected in West Torrens Birkalla vs West Adelaide?
The model expects 3.61 goals (West Torrens Birkalla 2.41 · West Adelaide 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in West Torrens Birkalla vs West Adelaide?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.