Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 15/08, 11:30
Prediction: West Adelaide vs Playford
Team pages: West Adelaide · Playford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
West Adelaide1.45
Playford1.87
1X2
West Adelaide
Draw
Playford
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
West Adelaide
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Playford
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
West Adelaide
1–1–4
Playford
(6 last)
- Playford1-4West Adelaide
- West Adelaide3-4Playford
- Playford2-1West Adelaide
- West Adelaide1-5Playford
- West Adelaide3-3Playford
- Playford1-0West Adelaide
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · West Adelaide 1503 · Playford 1452
| West Adelaide | Draw | Playford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 24% | 46% |
| Market | 30% | 23% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Adelaide (rating 1503 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Playford: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| West Adelaide | Playford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5 | 2.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · West Adelaide 1–1–4 Playford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Playford | 1-4 HT 0-1 | West Adelaide |
| 30/01/25 Australia Friendlies | West Adelaide | 3-4 HT 2-2 | Playford |
| 20/07/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Playford | 2-1 HT 1-1 | West Adelaide |
| 27/04/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | West Adelaide | 1-5 HT 0-1 | Playford |
| 06/08/22 Australia South Australia State League 1 | West Adelaide | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Playford |
| 14/05/22 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Playford | 1-0 HT 1-0 | West Adelaide |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 41 | 16 | 45 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 53 | 26 | 44 |
| 3 | Metrostars | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | Playford | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 32 |
| 6 | Croydon FC | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 39 | 30 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 29 |
| 8 | Sturt Lions | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 27 |
| 9 | Campbelltown City | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 26 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 42 | 25 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 36 | 17 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 21 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 98 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | West Adelaide | Playford |
|---|---|---|
| West Torrens Birkalla | 1-6 L | 0-1 L |
| Para Hills Knights | 2-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Metrostars | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Sturt Lions | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| White City FK Beograd | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Campbelltown City | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Croydon FC | 5-5 D | 1-4 L |
| Adelaide Comets | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Adelaide City | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Playford (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
West Adelaide
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
4-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 12/06 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Playford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | Adelaide United Australia Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in West Adelaide vs Playford?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Playford win (47%). Probabilities: West Adelaide 30%, draw 24%, Playford 47%.
How many goals are expected in West Adelaide vs Playford?
The model expects 3.32 goals (West Adelaide 1.45 · Playford 1.87), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in West Adelaide vs Playford?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.