Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 15/08, 11:30

Prediction: White City FK Beograd vs Adelaide City

Team pages: White City FK Beograd · Adelaide City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

White City FK Beograd1.02

Adelaide City1.69

1X2

23% 24% 53%

White City FK Beograd Draw Adelaide City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

White City FK Beograd 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Adelaide City 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

White City FK Beograd 2–1–3 Adelaide City (6 last)

Adelaide City2-2White City FK Beograd
Adelaide City2-4White City FK Beograd
White City FK Beograd0-2Adelaide City
White City FK Beograd0-1Adelaide City
Adelaide City0-1White City FK Beograd
Adelaide City1-0White City FK Beograd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · White City FK Beograd 1481 · Adelaide City 1595

	White City FK Beograd	Draw	Adelaide City
Our model	22%	26%	52%
Market	24%	22%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide City (rating 1481 vs 1595).
H2H favours Adelaide City: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	White City FK Beograd	Adelaide City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	2 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	1.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.80

X4.00

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.81 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:35 +4’	3.80	4.00	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:53	3.92	3.73	1.76
11:18	3.76▼	3.67▼	1.81▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · White City FK Beograd 2–1–3 Adelaide City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide City	2-2 HT 2-1	White City FK Beograd
30/05/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide City	2-4 HT 1-2	White City FK Beograd
23/02/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	White City FK Beograd	0-2 HT 0-1	Adelaide City
15/06/24 Australia South Australia Premier League	White City FK Beograd	0-1 HT 0-1	Adelaide City
22/03/24 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide City	0-1 HT 0-0	White City FK Beograd
15/07/23 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide City	1-0 HT 0-0	White City FK Beograd

Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide City	21	13	6	2	41	16	45
2	West Torrens Birkalla	21	14	2	5	53	26	44
3	Metrostars	21	12	5	4	51	23	41
4	White City FK Beograd	21	10	3	8	35	27	33
5	Playford	21	9	5	7	40	30	32
6	Croydon FC	21	8	6	7	46	39	30
7	Adelaide United NPL	21	7	8	6	32	30	29
8	Sturt Lions	21	8	3	10	34	33	27
9	Campbelltown City	21	7	5	9	32	35	26
10	West Adelaide	21	6	7	8	39	42	25
11	Adelaide Comets	21	4	5	12	20	36	17
12	Para Hills Knights	21	0	1	20	12	98	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	White City FK Beograd	Adelaide City
Campbelltown City	0-2 L	4-0 W
Croydon FC	4-3 W	2-2 D
Adelaide Comets	0-1 L	1-0 W
Adelaide United NPL	0-2 L	0-0 D
West Adelaide	1-0 W	2-1 W
Playford	1-0 W	1-0 W
West Torrens Birkalla	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide City (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

White City FK Beograd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
01/08	Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League	0-2	4-3	6	3	W
25/07	Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
19/07	Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
15/07	North Sunshine Eagles Australia Cup	0-0	2-3	3	5	L
11/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia Federation Cup	1-1	2-2	6	9	D
04/07	West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
27/06	Playford Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
20/06	West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
17/06	West Torrens Birkalla Australia Cup Qualifying	2-0	3-0	3	4	W

Adelaide City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Playford Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
31/07	Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League	4-0	4-0	4	5	W
25/07	West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	0	W
18/07	Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
04/07	Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
26/06	Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
20/06	Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
13/06	Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
05/06	Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	4-1	7	8	W
31/05	West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	2-1	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in White City FK Beograd vs Adelaide City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Adelaide City win (53%). Probabilities: White City FK Beograd 23%, draw 24%, Adelaide City 53%.

How many goals are expected in White City FK Beograd vs Adelaide City?

The model expects 2.71 goals (White City FK Beograd 1.02 · Adelaide City 1.69), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in White City FK Beograd vs Adelaide City?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.