Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 15/08, 11:30

Prediction: West Torrens Birkalla vs Adelaide United NPL

Team pages: West Torrens Birkalla · Adelaide United NPL

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

West Torrens Birkalla2.2

Adelaide United NPL1.1

1X2

62% 21% 18%

West Torrens Birkalla Draw Adelaide United NPL

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

West Torrens Birkalla 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Adelaide United NPL 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

West Torrens Birkalla 2–4 Adelaide United NPL (6 last)

Adelaide United NPL3-0West Torrens Birkalla
West Torrens Birkalla3-0Adelaide United NPL
Adelaide United NPL6-2West Torrens Birkalla
Adelaide United NPL4-1West Torrens Birkalla
West Torrens Birkalla2-1Adelaide United NPL
West Torrens Birkalla0-3Adelaide United NPL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · West Torrens Birkalla 1526 · Adelaide United NPL 1497

	West Torrens Birkalla	Draw	Adelaide United NPL
Our model	61%	22%	17%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Adelaide United NPL: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	West Torrens Birkalla	Adelaide United NPL
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.6	2.9 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Pinn 1.47
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.80 ★
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
07:20 +5’	1.45	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:53	1.47	4.88	4.80
11:18 +1’	1.47	4.80▼	4.71▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · West Torrens Birkalla 2–0–4 Adelaide United NPL

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide United NPL	3-0 HT 0-0	West Torrens Birkalla
18/07/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	West Torrens Birkalla	3-0 HT 3-0	Adelaide United NPL
26/04/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide United NPL	6-2 HT 4-0	West Torrens Birkalla
13/08/22 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide United NPL	4-1 HT 1-0	West Torrens Birkalla
21/05/22 Australia South Australia Premier League	West Torrens Birkalla	2-1 HT 0-1	Adelaide United NPL
22/07/18 Australia South Australia Premier League	West Torrens Birkalla	0-3 HT 0-0	Adelaide United NPL

Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide City	21	13	6	2	41	16	45
2	West Torrens Birkalla	21	14	2	5	53	26	44
3	Metrostars	21	12	5	4	51	23	41
4	White City FK Beograd	21	10	3	8	35	27	33
5	Playford	21	9	5	7	40	30	32
6	Croydon FC	21	8	6	7	46	39	30
7	Adelaide United NPL	21	7	8	6	32	30	29
8	Sturt Lions	21	8	3	10	34	33	27
9	Campbelltown City	21	7	5	9	32	35	26
10	West Adelaide	21	6	7	8	39	42	25
11	Adelaide Comets	21	4	5	12	20	36	17
12	Para Hills Knights	21	0	1	20	12	98	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	West Torrens Birkalla	Adelaide United NPL
West Adelaide	6-1 W	1-3 L
Playford	1-0 W	0-0 D
Adelaide City	0-1 L	0-0 D
Para Hills Knights	11-0 W	5-2 W
Metrostars	1-3 L	1-1 D
Sturt Lions	4-1 W	2-3 L
White City FK Beograd	0-2 L	2-0 W
Campbelltown City	2-1 W	0-0 D
Croydon FC	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: West Torrens Birkalla (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

West Torrens Birkalla

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	6-1	2	2	W
01/08	Playford Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
25/07	Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
17/07	Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League	4-0	11-0	8	2	W
04/07	Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
26/06	Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League	2-1	4-1	6	2	W
20/06	White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League	0-2	0-2	6	6	L
17/06	White City FK Beograd Australia Cup Qualifying	0-2	0-3	7	4	L
12/06	Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
05/06	Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W

Adelaide United NPL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League	4-1	5-2	10	1	W
01/08	Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
25/07	Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League	1-2	2-3	3	2	L
19/07	White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
04/07	Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
26/06	Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	0-3	13	0	L
20/06	Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-1	8	8	D
13/06	Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
07/06	West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League	1-2	1-3	5	1	L
30/05	Playford Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in West Torrens Birkalla vs Adelaide United NPL?

According to our model, the most likely result is a West Torrens Birkalla win (62%). Probabilities: West Torrens Birkalla 62%, draw 21%, Adelaide United NPL 18%.

How many goals are expected in West Torrens Birkalla vs Adelaide United NPL?

The model expects 3.3 goals (West Torrens Birkalla 2.2 · Adelaide United NPL 1.1), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in West Torrens Birkalla vs Adelaide United NPL?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.