Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 15/08, 11:30
Prediction: Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City
Team pages: Sturt Lions · Campbelltown City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Sturt Lions1.42
Campbelltown City1.29
1X2
Sturt Lions
Draw
Campbelltown City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sturt Lions
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Campbelltown City
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sturt Lions
0–1–5
Campbelltown City
(6 last)
- Campbelltown City2-0Sturt Lions
- Campbelltown City4-0Sturt Lions
- Campbelltown City3-1Sturt Lions
- Sturt Lions1-2Campbelltown City
- Sturt Lions0-1Campbelltown City
- Campbelltown City1-1Sturt Lions
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sturt Lions 1498 · Campbelltown City 1499
| Sturt Lions | Draw | Campbelltown City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Campbelltown City: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sturt Lions | Campbelltown City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sturt Lions 0–1–5 Campbelltown City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sturt Lions |
| 13/02/26 Club Friendly List | Campbelltown City | 4-0 | Sturt Lions |
| 13/05/23 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Sturt Lions |
| 18/02/23 Australia South Australia Premier League | Sturt Lions | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Campbelltown City |
| 02/07/22 Australia South Australia Premier League | Sturt Lions | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Campbelltown City |
| 02/04/22 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sturt Lions |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 41 | 16 | 45 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 53 | 26 | 44 |
| 3 | Metrostars | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | Playford | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 32 |
| 6 | Croydon FC | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 39 | 30 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 29 |
| 8 | Sturt Lions | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 27 |
| 9 | Campbelltown City | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 26 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 42 | 25 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 36 | 17 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 21 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 98 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sturt Lions | Campbelltown City |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Comets | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Croydon FC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Adelaide United NPL | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| West Adelaide | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Playford | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Para Hills Knights | 6-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Metrostars | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Adelaide City | 1-4 L | 0-4 L |
| White City FK Beograd | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sturt Lions (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sturt Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
4-0 | 6-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Campbelltown City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 31/07 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 17/07 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 12/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sturt Lions win (40%). Probabilities: Sturt Lions 40%, draw 26%, Campbelltown City 34%.
How many goals are expected in Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Sturt Lions 1.42 · Campbelltown City 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.