Prediction: Adelaide Olympic vs Salisbury United
Expected goals: 3.9 (Adelaide Olympic 2.37 · Salisbury United 1.53). The model gives 55% home, 21% draw, 24% away. Over 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Adelaide Olympic is 6-0-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Salisbury United 2-1-7 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Adelaide Olympic and 1 for Salisbury United, with 1 draw.
| Adelaide Olympic | Draw | Salisbury United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Market | 55% | 21% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide Olympic (rating 1525 vs 1422).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide Olympic | Salisbury United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Olympic 1–1–1 Salisbury United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Salisbury United | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Adelaide Olympic |
| 07/06/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Olympic | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Salisbury United |
| 01/03/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Salisbury United | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Adelaide Olympic |
Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Fulham United FC | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 30 |
| 3 | Adelaide Atletico | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Adelaide Olympic | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 28 |
| 5 | Modbury Jets | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | Cumberland United | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 24 |
| 8 | Cove | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 23 |
| 9 | Adelaide Cobras | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 16 |
| 10 | Eastern United | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 15 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 11 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 43 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide Olympic | Salisbury United |
|---|---|---|
| Modbury Jets | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Cove | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Eastern United | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Fulham United FC | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 1-3 L | 4-3 W |
| Cumberland United | 2-1 W | 3-4 L |
| Adelaide Cobras | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| South Adelaide | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide Olympic (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 29/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Salisbury United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide Olympic vs Salisbury United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide Olympic win (55%). Probabilities: Adelaide Olympic 55%, draw 21%, Salisbury United 24%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide Olympic vs Salisbury United?
The model expects 3.9 goals (Adelaide Olympic 2.37 · Salisbury United 1.53), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide Olympic vs Salisbury United?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.