Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 25/07, 11:30

Prediction: Cumberland United vs Adelaide Blue Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Cumberland United1.52

Adelaide Blue Eagles1.75

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Cumberland United Draw Adelaide Blue Eagles

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cumberland United 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Adelaide Blue Eagles 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cumberland United 1–1–4 Adelaide Blue Eagles (6 last)

Adelaide Blue Eagles2-0Cumberland United
Cumberland United2-3Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Blue Eagles4-0Cumberland United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cumberland United 1531 · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1566

	Cumberland United	Draw	Adelaide Blue Eagles
Our model	33%	25%	42%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Adelaide Blue Eagles: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cumberland United	Adelaide Blue Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.6	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.4	2.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:08 +2’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cumberland United 1–1–4 Adelaide Blue Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	2-0 HT 2-0	Cumberland United
16/08/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Cumberland United	2-3 HT 2-1	Adelaide Blue Eagles
24/05/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	4-0 HT 1-0	Cumberland United
10/08/24 Australia South Australia State League 1	Cumberland United	3-3 HT 2-2	Adelaide Blue Eagles
18/05/24 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	1-3 HT 0-1	Cumberland United
27/05/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	1-0 HT 0-0	Cumberland United

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	18	12	1	5	49	23	37
2	Adelaide Olympic	18	11	1	6	33	23	34
3	Fulham United FC	18	10	3	5	38	27	33
4	Modbury Jets	18	9	5	4	34	18	32
5	Adelaide Blue Eagles	18	9	4	5	31	24	31
6	Adelaide Atletico	18	9	3	6	33	25	30
7	Cumberland United	18	9	1	8	32	24	28
8	Cove	18	7	5	6	26	26	26
9	Adelaide Cobras	18	5	2	11	21	37	17
10	Eastern United	18	4	4	10	18	36	16
11	South Adelaide	18	3	3	12	19	49	12
12	Salisbury United	18	3	2	13	20	42	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cumberland United	Adelaide Blue Eagles
Fulham United FC	3-1 W	3-1 W
Eastern United	1-0 W	1-0 W
South Adelaide	5-1 W	4-1 W
Adelaide Cobras	2-0 W	0-0 D
Adelaide Atletico	1-2 L	0-4 L
Salisbury United	4-3 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cumberland United (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cumberland United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
16/07	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-1	1	2	W
11/07	White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Federation Cup	1-1	2-2	1	9	D
04/07	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
26/06	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
20/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	4-1	5-1	3	2	W
13/06	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
10/06	Adelaide Cobras Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	3-2	8	3	W
06/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
30/05	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	3-0	4-3	4	0	W

Adelaide Blue Eagles

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
13/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-1	5	7	W
04/07	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	3-1	4-1	7	3	W
27/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-4	5	7	L
20/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
13/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
06/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	3	9	L
30/05	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	3-0	3-1	1	3	W
22/05	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
16/05	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	3-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cumberland United vs Adelaide Blue Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Adelaide Blue Eagles win (43%). Probabilities: Cumberland United 33%, draw 24%, Adelaide Blue Eagles 43%.

How many goals are expected in Cumberland United vs Adelaide Blue Eagles?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Cumberland United 1.52 · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1.75), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cumberland United vs Adelaide Blue Eagles?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.