Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 25/07, 07:30

Prediction: Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Fulham United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.05Total

Adelaide Croatia Raiders2.2

Fulham United FC1.86

1X2

45% 22% 32%

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Draw Fulham United FC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Adelaide Croatia Raiders 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Fulham United FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Adelaide Croatia Raiders 3–3 Fulham United FC (6 last)

Fulham United FC4-2Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Adelaide Croatia Raiders4-2Fulham United FC
Fulham United FC0-2Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adelaide Croatia Raiders 1561 · Fulham United FC 1535

	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	Draw	Fulham United FC
Our model	46%	22%	33%
Market	45%	23%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	Fulham United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 1.5	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.2	1.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.90

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:08 +1’	2.00	3.90	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Croatia Raiders 3–0–3 Fulham United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	4-2 HT 3-0	Adelaide Croatia Raiders
13/05/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	4-2 HT 1-1	Fulham United FC
18/02/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders
23/07/22 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	2-3 HT 1-2	Fulham United FC
23/04/22 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders
28/04/18 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	18	12	1	5	49	23	37
2	Adelaide Olympic	18	11	1	6	33	23	34
3	Fulham United FC	18	10	3	5	38	27	33
4	Modbury Jets	18	9	5	4	34	18	32
5	Adelaide Blue Eagles	18	9	4	5	31	24	31
6	Adelaide Atletico	18	9	3	6	33	25	30
7	Cumberland United	18	9	1	8	32	24	28
8	Cove	18	7	5	6	26	26	26
9	Adelaide Cobras	18	5	2	11	21	37	17
10	Eastern United	18	4	4	10	18	36	16
11	South Adelaide	18	3	3	12	19	49	12
12	Salisbury United	18	3	2	13	20	42	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	Fulham United FC
Cumberland United	2-1 W	1-3 L
Adelaide Cobras	7-0 W	3-0 W
Adelaide Atletico	3-1 W	4-1 W
South Adelaide	3-2 W	1-0 W
Salisbury United	3-4 L	2-2 D
Modbury Jets	3-1 W	2-0 W
Adelaide Olympic	3-1 W	0-4 L
Cove	1-1 D	3-2 W
Adelaide Blue Eagles	3-4 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide Croatia Raiders (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Adelaide Croatia Raiders

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	3-0	8	3	W
04/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	2-1	2	2	W
27/06	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	7-0	11	1	W
20/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	3-0	3-1	4	6	W
13/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	3-2	4	2	W
06/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	3-4	14	1	L
30/05	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
23/05	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
16/05	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
09/05	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	3-4	11	7	L

Fulham United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	1-3	7	2	L
04/07	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	1	0	W
27/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
20/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
13/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	4-1	2	4	W
05/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
29/05	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-4	3	3	L
23/05	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
19/05	West Torrens Birkalla Australia Cup Qualifying	1-0	3-3	2	5	D
16/05	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-3	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Fulham United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide Croatia Raiders win (45%). Probabilities: Adelaide Croatia Raiders 45%, draw 22%, Fulham United FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Fulham United FC?

The model expects 4.05 goals (Adelaide Croatia Raiders 2.2 · Fulham United FC 1.86), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Fulham United FC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.