Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 24/07, 12:15

Prediction: Eastern United vs Salisbury United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Eastern United1.6

Salisbury United1.46

1X2

41% 24% 35%

Eastern United Draw Salisbury United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Eastern United 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWDLDL

Salisbury United 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLDLLL

Head-to-head

Eastern United 2–1–0 Salisbury United (3 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eastern United 1481 · Salisbury United 1422

	Eastern United	Draw	Salisbury United
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	42%	22%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastern United (rating 1481 vs 1422).
H2H favours Eastern United: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eastern United	Salisbury United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.3	1.4 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.8	2.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X4.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.85

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +8’	2.15	4.00	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern United 2–1–0 Salisbury United

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Salisbury United	2-3 HT 0-1	Eastern United
06/02/21 Australia Friendlies	Eastern United	1-1 HT 1-0	Salisbury United
21/01/17 Australia Friendlies	Salisbury United	2-3 HT 0-1	Eastern United

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	18	12	1	5	49	23	37
2	Adelaide Olympic	18	11	1	6	33	23	34
3	Fulham United FC	18	10	3	5	38	27	33
4	Modbury Jets	18	9	5	4	34	18	32
5	Adelaide Blue Eagles	18	9	4	5	31	24	31
6	Adelaide Atletico	18	9	3	6	33	25	30
7	Cumberland United	18	9	1	8	32	24	28
8	Cove	18	7	5	6	26	26	26
9	Adelaide Cobras	18	5	2	11	21	37	17
10	Eastern United	18	4	4	10	18	36	16
11	South Adelaide	18	3	3	12	19	49	12
12	Salisbury United	18	3	2	13	20	42	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eastern United	Salisbury United
Adelaide Croatia Raiders	0-3 L	4-3 W
Modbury Jets	0-0 D	2-3 L
Cumberland United	0-1 L	3-4 L
Adelaide Cobras	1-1 D	2-1 W
Adelaide Olympic	2-1 W	0-1 L
Cove	1-0 W	0-4 L
South Adelaide	1-1 D	0-2 L
Adelaide Blue Eagles	0-1 L	0-3 L
Adelaide Atletico	0-5 L	1-2 L
Fulham United FC	0-0 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Eastern United (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eastern United

DLLDWWDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
03/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
26/06	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
20/06	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
12/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
05/06	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
30/05	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
22/05	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
16/05	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-4	0-5	6	1	L
08/05	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	3	0	D

Salisbury United

LLWLWLDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	2-3	10	3	L
03/07	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
27/06	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	0-3	0-4	6	2	L
20/06	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	2-2	3	3	D
13/06	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
06/06	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	4-3	6	1	W
30/05	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-3	3-4	3	0	L
23/05	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	2-1	12	3	W
16/05	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
09/05	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-2	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eastern United vs Salisbury United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastern United win (41%). Probabilities: Eastern United 41%, draw 24%, Salisbury United 35%.

How many goals are expected in Eastern United vs Salisbury United?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Eastern United 1.6 · Salisbury United 1.46), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Eastern United vs Salisbury United?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.