Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 22/08, 09:30

Prediction: Fulham United FC vs Adelaide Blue Eagles

Team pages: Fulham United FC · Adelaide Blue Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Fulham United FC1.61

Adelaide Blue Eagles1.3

1X2

44% 25% 31%

Fulham United FC Draw Adelaide Blue Eagles

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fulham United FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLLLDW

Adelaide Blue Eagles 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDLDDW

Head-to-head

Fulham United FC 3–1–2 Adelaide Blue Eagles (6 last)

Fulham United FC0-0Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Blue Eagles3-1Fulham United FC
Fulham United FC4-2Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Blue Eagles1-2Fulham United FC
Adelaide Blue Eagles4-0Fulham United FC
Fulham United FC3-2Adelaide Blue Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fulham United FC 1519 · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1518

	Fulham United FC	Draw	Adelaide Blue Eagles
Our model	44%	27%	30%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Fulham United FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fulham United FC	Adelaide Blue Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	2.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.80

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:21 +35’	2.00	3.80	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fulham United FC 3–1–2 Adelaide Blue Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Adelaide Blue Eagles
16/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	3-1 HT 0-0	Fulham United FC
19/07/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	4-2 HT 2-0	Adelaide Blue Eagles
26/04/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	1-2 HT 1-1	Fulham United FC
15/06/24 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	4-0 HT 1-0	Fulham United FC
23/03/24 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	3-2 HT 1-0	Adelaide Blue Eagles

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	22	15	2	5	56	26	47
2	Modbury Jets	22	13	5	4	46	20	44
3	Adelaide Olympic	22	14	1	7	42	25	43
4	Fulham United FC	22	11	4	7	42	31	37
5	Adelaide Blue Eagles	22	10	6	6	35	28	36
6	Adelaide Atletico	22	11	3	8	40	34	36
7	Cumberland United	22	11	1	10	36	28	34
8	Cove	22	7	5	10	29	36	26
9	Eastern United	22	6	4	12	25	44	22
10	Adelaide Cobras	22	6	2	14	22	45	20
11	Salisbury United	22	5	2	15	27	47	17
12	South Adelaide	22	4	3	15	26	62	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fulham United FC	Adelaide Blue Eagles
Eastern United	1-2 L	2-1 W
Adelaide Croatia Raiders	0-1 L	1-1 D
Cumberland United	1-3 L	1-2 L
Adelaide Cobras	3-0 W	0-0 D
South Adelaide	1-0 W	4-1 W
Salisbury United	2-2 D	3-0 W
Adelaide Atletico	4-1 W	0-4 L
Modbury Jets	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide Blue Eagles (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fulham United FC

WWDWWLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	3-1	3-1	6	1	W
08/08	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
01/08	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
25/07	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
16/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	1-3	7	2	L
04/07	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	1	0	W
27/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
20/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
13/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	4-1	2	4	W
05/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	4	3	W

Adelaide Blue Eagles

WDLWWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
08/08	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
01/08	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
25/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
18/07	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
13/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-1	5	7	W
04/07	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	3-1	4-1	7	3	W
27/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-4	5	7	L
20/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
13/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fulham United FC vs Adelaide Blue Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fulham United FC win (44%). Probabilities: Fulham United FC 44%, draw 25%, Adelaide Blue Eagles 31%.

How many goals are expected in Fulham United FC vs Adelaide Blue Eagles?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Fulham United FC 1.61 · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Fulham United FC vs Adelaide Blue Eagles?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.