Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 08/08, 07:30
Prediction: Adelaide Comets vs Metrostars
Team pages: Adelaide Comets · Metrostars
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Adelaide Comets0.83
Metrostars2.31
1X2
Adelaide Comets
Draw
Metrostars
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Adelaide Comets
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Metrostars
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Adelaide Comets
0–3–3
Metrostars
(6 last)
- Metrostars0-0Adelaide Comets
- Adelaide Comets1-2Metrostars
- Metrostars1-1Adelaide Comets
- Metrostars5-1Adelaide Comets
- Adelaide Comets0-3Metrostars
- Metrostars2-2Adelaide Comets
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide Comets 1483 · Metrostars 1525
| Adelaide Comets | Draw | Metrostars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 19% | 70% |
| Market | 11% | 19% | 70% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metrostars (rating 1483 vs 1525).
- H2H favours Metrostars: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide Comets | Metrostars | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 2.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3 | 2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Comets 0–3–3 Metrostars
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Metrostars | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Adelaide Comets |
| 02/08/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide Comets | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Metrostars |
| 11/06/25 Australia Cup Qualifying | Metrostars | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Adelaide Comets |
| 10/05/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Metrostars | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Adelaide Comets |
| 09/08/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide Comets | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Metrostars |
| 18/05/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Metrostars | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Adelaide Comets |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 25 | 41 |
| 3 | Metrostars | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 23 | 38 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 33 |
| 5 | Playford | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 32 |
| 6 | Croydon FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 38 | 29 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 26 |
| 8 | West Adelaide | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 25 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 10 | Campbelltown City | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 35 | 23 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 35 | 16 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 93 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide Comets | Metrostars |
|---|---|---|
| White City FK Beograd | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Campbelltown City | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Croydon FC | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Adelaide City | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Adelaide United NPL | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| West Adelaide | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Playford | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Para Hills Knights | 4-0 W | 9-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Metrostars (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide Comets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 26/06 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 12/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Metrostars
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
4-0 | 9-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide Comets vs Metrostars?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Metrostars win (70%). Probabilities: Adelaide Comets 11%, draw 19%, Metrostars 70%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide Comets vs Metrostars?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Adelaide Comets 0.83 · Metrostars 2.31), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide Comets vs Metrostars?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.