Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 01/08, 11:30

Prediction: Adelaide Cobras vs Adelaide Olympic

Team pages: Adelaide Cobras · Adelaide Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Adelaide Cobras1.21

Adelaide Olympic1.72

1X2

27% 24% 49%

Adelaide Cobras Draw Adelaide Olympic

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Adelaide Cobras 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Adelaide Olympic 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Adelaide Cobras 0–3 Adelaide Olympic (3 last)

Adelaide Olympic2-0Adelaide Cobras
Adelaide Cobras1-2Adelaide Olympic
Adelaide Olympic1-0Adelaide Cobras

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adelaide Cobras 1450 · Adelaide Olympic 1553

	Adelaide Cobras	Draw	Adelaide Olympic
Our model	26%	26%	48%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide Olympic (rating 1450 vs 1553).
H2H favours Adelaide Olympic: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Adelaide Cobras	Adelaide Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.5	3.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +16’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Cobras 0–0–3 Adelaide Olympic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Olympic	2-0 HT 1-0	Adelaide Cobras
19/07/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Cobras	1-2 HT 1-1	Adelaide Olympic
26/04/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Olympic	1-0 HT 0-0	Adelaide Cobras

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	19	13	1	5	50	23	40
2	Adelaide Olympic	19	12	1	6	38	24	37
3	Modbury Jets	19	10	5	4	38	18	35
4	Fulham United FC	19	10	3	6	38	28	33
5	Cumberland United	19	10	1	8	34	25	31
6	Adelaide Blue Eagles	19	9	4	6	32	26	31
7	Adelaide Atletico	19	9	3	7	33	29	30
8	Cove	19	7	5	7	26	27	26
9	Adelaide Cobras	19	6	2	11	22	37	20
10	Eastern United	19	4	4	11	18	39	16
11	Salisbury United	19	4	2	13	23	42	14
12	South Adelaide	19	3	3	13	20	54	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Adelaide Cobras	Adelaide Olympic
Cove	1-0 W	2-0 W
Adelaide Blue Eagles	0-0 D	2-1 W
Fulham United FC	0-3 L	4-0 W
Adelaide Croatia Raiders	0-7 L	1-3 L
Eastern United	1-1 D	1-2 L
Cumberland United	0-2 L	2-1 W
South Adelaide	2-0 W	5-1 W
Adelaide Atletico	2-3 L	1-0 W
Salisbury United	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	7 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide Olympic (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Adelaide Cobras

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
18/07	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
04/07	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
27/06	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-7	2	1	L
20/06	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
13/06	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
10/06	Cumberland United Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
06/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-0	1	0	W
30/05	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-3	6	6	L
23/05	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-2	5	3	L

Adelaide Olympic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	5-1	9	6	W
18/07	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
03/07	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
27/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-4	4	4	L
20/06	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
12/06	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
06/06	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	4	9	W
29/05	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	4-0	9	3	W
23/05	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	1-3	8	4	L
17/05	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adelaide Cobras vs Adelaide Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Adelaide Olympic win (49%). Probabilities: Adelaide Cobras 27%, draw 24%, Adelaide Olympic 49%.

How many goals are expected in Adelaide Cobras vs Adelaide Olympic?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Adelaide Cobras 1.21 · Adelaide Olympic 1.72), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Adelaide Cobras vs Adelaide Olympic?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.