Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 01/08, 07:30

Prediction: Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Team pages: Adelaide Blue Eagles · Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Adelaide Blue Eagles1.89

Adelaide Croatia Raiders1.74

1X2

41% 23% 36%

Adelaide Blue Eagles Draw Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Adelaide Blue Eagles 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLWWDL

Adelaide Croatia Raiders 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Adelaide Blue Eagles 1–1–4 Adelaide Croatia Raiders (6 last)

Adelaide Croatia Raiders3-4Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Croatia Raiders3-1Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Blue Eagles2-4Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Adelaide Croatia Raiders1-0Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Blue Eagles2-2Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Adelaide Croatia Raiders3-1Adelaide Blue Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1529 · Adelaide Croatia Raiders 1579

	Adelaide Blue Eagles	Draw	Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	42%	22%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide Croatia Raiders (rating 1529 vs 1579).
H2H favours Adelaide Croatia Raiders: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Adelaide Blue Eagles	Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	2.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	2.7 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X4.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +14’	2.15	4.00	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1–1–4 Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	3-4 HT 1-1	Adelaide Blue Eagles
03/06/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	3-1 HT 1-1	Adelaide Blue Eagles
11/03/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	2-4 HT 2-0	Adelaide Croatia Raiders
02/07/22 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	1-0 HT 1-0	Adelaide Blue Eagles
02/04/22 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	2-2 HT 2-2	Adelaide Croatia Raiders
10/07/21 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	3-1 HT 0-1	Adelaide Blue Eagles

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	19	13	1	5	50	23	40
2	Adelaide Olympic	19	12	1	6	38	24	37
3	Modbury Jets	19	10	5	4	38	18	35
4	Fulham United FC	19	10	3	6	38	28	33
5	Cumberland United	19	10	1	8	34	25	31
6	Adelaide Blue Eagles	19	9	4	6	32	26	31
7	Adelaide Atletico	19	9	3	7	33	29	30
8	Cove	19	7	5	7	26	27	26
9	Adelaide Cobras	19	6	2	11	22	37	20
10	Eastern United	19	4	4	11	18	39	16
11	Salisbury United	19	4	2	13	23	42	14
12	South Adelaide	19	3	3	13	20	54	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Adelaide Blue Eagles	Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Cumberland United	1-2 L	2-1 W
Adelaide Cobras	0-0 D	7-0 W
Modbury Jets	3-1 W	3-1 W
South Adelaide	4-1 W	3-2 W
Adelaide Atletico	0-4 L	3-1 W
Salisbury United	3-0 W	3-4 L
Adelaide Olympic	1-2 L	3-1 W
Cove	3-1 W	1-1 D
Eastern United	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	7 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide Croatia Raiders (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adelaide Blue Eagles

WWLWDLWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
18/07	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
13/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-1	5	7	W
04/07	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	3-1	4-1	7	3	W
27/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-4	5	7	L
20/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
13/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
06/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	3	9	L
30/05	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	3-0	3-1	1	3	W
22/05	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W

Adelaide Croatia Raiders

DWWLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
18/07	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	3-0	8	3	W
04/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	2-1	2	2	W
27/06	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	7-0	11	1	W
20/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	3-0	3-1	4	6	W
13/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	3-2	4	2	W
06/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	3-4	14	1	L
30/05	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
23/05	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
16/05	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-1	1	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide Blue Eagles win (41%). Probabilities: Adelaide Blue Eagles 41%, draw 23%, Adelaide Croatia Raiders 36%.

How many goals are expected in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Adelaide Blue Eagles 1.89 · Adelaide Croatia Raiders 1.74), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.