Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 01/08, 07:30

Prediction: Fulham United FC vs Eastern United

Team pages: Fulham United FC · Eastern United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Fulham United FC1.97

Eastern United0.98

1X2

60% 22% 18%

Fulham United FC Draw Eastern United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fulham United FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Eastern United 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Fulham United FC 2–2–2 Eastern United (6 last)

Eastern United0-0Fulham United FC
Eastern United2-1Fulham United FC
Fulham United FC4-0Eastern United
Eastern United0-2Fulham United FC
Fulham United FC1-1Eastern United
Fulham United FC0-1Eastern United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fulham United FC 1525 · Eastern United 1449

	Fulham United FC	Draw	Eastern United
Our model	59%	23%	17%
Market	61%	20%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fulham United FC (rating 1525 vs 1449).
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fulham United FC	Eastern United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.6	0.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.6	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.48▲	Bet365 1.48
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.25 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +14’	1.42	4.50	5.25
15:08 +7’	1.48▲	4.50	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fulham United FC 2–2–2 Eastern United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Eastern United	0-0 HT 0-0	Fulham United FC
01/07/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Eastern United	2-1 HT 2-1	Fulham United FC
08/04/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	4-0 HT 1-0	Eastern United
13/06/22 Australia South Australia State League 1	Eastern United	0-2 HT 0-1	Fulham United FC
05/03/22 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Eastern United
17/07/21 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Eastern United

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	19	13	1	5	50	23	40
2	Adelaide Olympic	19	12	1	6	38	24	37
3	Modbury Jets	19	10	5	4	38	18	35
4	Fulham United FC	19	10	3	6	38	28	33
5	Cumberland United	19	10	1	8	34	25	31
6	Adelaide Blue Eagles	19	9	4	6	32	26	31
7	Adelaide Atletico	19	9	3	7	33	29	30
8	Cove	19	7	5	7	26	27	26
9	Adelaide Cobras	19	6	2	11	22	37	20
10	Eastern United	19	4	4	11	18	39	16
11	Salisbury United	19	4	2	13	23	42	14
12	South Adelaide	19	3	3	13	20	54	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fulham United FC	Eastern United
Adelaide Croatia Raiders	0-1 L	0-3 L
Cumberland United	1-3 L	0-1 L
Adelaide Cobras	3-0 W	1-1 D
South Adelaide	1-0 W	1-1 D
Salisbury United	2-2 D	0-3 L
Adelaide Atletico	4-1 W	0-5 L
Modbury Jets	2-0 W	0-0 D
Adelaide Olympic	0-4 L	2-1 W
Cove	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Fulham United FC (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fulham United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
16/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	1-3	7	2	L
04/07	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	1	0	W
27/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
20/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
13/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	4-1	2	4	W
05/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
29/05	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-4	3	3	L
23/05	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
19/05	West Torrens Birkalla Australia Cup Qualifying	1-0	3-3	2	5	D

Eastern United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
18/07	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
03/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
26/06	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
20/06	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
12/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
05/06	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
30/05	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
22/05	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
16/05	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-4	0-5	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fulham United FC vs Eastern United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fulham United FC win (60%). Probabilities: Fulham United FC 60%, draw 22%, Eastern United 18%.

How many goals are expected in Fulham United FC vs Eastern United?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Fulham United FC 1.97 · Eastern United 0.98), with a 59% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fulham United FC vs Eastern United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.