Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 08/08, 07:30

Prediction: Fulham United FC vs Adelaide Blue Eagles

Team pages: Fulham United FC · Adelaide Blue Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Fulham United FC1.6

Adelaide Blue Eagles1.49

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Fulham United FC Draw Adelaide Blue Eagles

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fulham United FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Adelaide Blue Eagles 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Fulham United FC 3–1–2 Adelaide Blue Eagles (6 last)

Adelaide Blue Eagles3-1Fulham United FC
Fulham United FC4-2Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Blue Eagles1-2Fulham United FC
Adelaide Blue Eagles4-0Fulham United FC
Fulham United FC3-2Adelaide Blue Eagles
Fulham United FC1-1Adelaide Blue Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fulham United FC 1498 · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1529

	Fulham United FC	Draw	Adelaide Blue Eagles
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	41%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Fulham United FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fulham United FC	Adelaide Blue Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4	2.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.80

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
07:09 +3’	2.20	3.80	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fulham United FC 3–1–2 Adelaide Blue Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	3-1 HT 0-0	Fulham United FC
19/07/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	4-2 HT 2-0	Adelaide Blue Eagles
26/04/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	1-2 HT 1-1	Fulham United FC
15/06/24 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	4-0 HT 1-0	Fulham United FC
23/03/24 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	3-2 HT 1-0	Adelaide Blue Eagles
20/05/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Adelaide Blue Eagles

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	20	13	2	5	51	24	41
2	Adelaide Olympic	20	13	1	6	40	24	40
3	Modbury Jets	20	11	5	4	41	20	38
4	Cumberland United	20	11	1	8	36	25	34
5	Fulham United FC	20	10	3	7	39	30	33
6	Adelaide Atletico	20	10	3	7	35	29	33
7	Adelaide Blue Eagles	20	9	5	6	33	27	32
8	Cove	20	7	5	8	26	29	26
9	Adelaide Cobras	20	6	2	12	22	39	20
10	Eastern United	20	5	4	11	20	40	19
11	Salisbury United	20	4	2	14	23	44	14
12	South Adelaide	20	3	3	14	22	57	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fulham United FC	Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Croatia Raiders	0-1 L	1-1 D
Cumberland United	1-3 L	1-2 L
Adelaide Cobras	3-0 W	0-0 D
South Adelaide	1-0 W	4-1 W
Salisbury United	2-2 D	3-0 W
Adelaide Atletico	4-1 W	0-4 L
Modbury Jets	2-0 W	3-1 W
Adelaide Olympic	0-4 L	1-2 L
Cove	3-2 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide Blue Eagles (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fulham United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
25/07	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
16/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	1-3	7	2	L
04/07	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	1	0	W
27/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
20/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
13/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	4-1	2	4	W
05/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
29/05	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-4	3	3	L
23/05	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-2	6	4	W

Adelaide Blue Eagles

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
25/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
18/07	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
13/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-1	5	7	W
04/07	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	3-1	4-1	7	3	W
27/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-4	5	7	L
20/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
13/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
06/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	3	9	L
30/05	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	3-0	3-1	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fulham United FC vs Adelaide Blue Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fulham United FC win (40%). Probabilities: Fulham United FC 40%, draw 25%, Adelaide Blue Eagles 35%.

How many goals are expected in Fulham United FC vs Adelaide Blue Eagles?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Fulham United FC 1.6 · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Fulham United FC vs Adelaide Blue Eagles?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.