Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 08/08, 11:30

Prediction: Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic

Team pages: Cumberland United · Adelaide Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Cumberland United1.58

Adelaide Olympic1.49

1X2

39% 25% 35%

Cumberland United Draw Adelaide Olympic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cumberland United 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWLWW

Adelaide Olympic 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Cumberland United 3–1–2 Adelaide Olympic (6 last)

Adelaide Olympic2-1Cumberland United
Cumberland United2-1Adelaide Olympic
Adelaide Olympic2-1Cumberland United
Adelaide Olympic2-3Cumberland United
Cumberland United3-2Adelaide Olympic
Adelaide Olympic1-1Cumberland United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cumberland United 1545 · Adelaide Olympic 1560

	Cumberland United	Draw	Adelaide Olympic
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cumberland United: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cumberland United	Adelaide Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.2	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.4	3.6 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.70

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:10 +16’	2.25	3.70	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cumberland United 3–1–2 Adelaide Olympic

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Olympic	2-1 HT 0-0	Cumberland United
02/08/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Cumberland United	2-1 HT 0-1	Adelaide Olympic
10/05/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Olympic	2-1 HT 1-1	Cumberland United
06/08/22 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide Olympic	2-3 HT 0-0	Cumberland United
14/05/22 Australia South Australia Premier League	Cumberland United	3-2 HT 2-0	Adelaide Olympic
10/07/21 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide Olympic	1-1 HT 0-1	Cumberland United

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	20	13	2	5	51	24	41
2	Adelaide Olympic	20	13	1	6	40	24	40
3	Modbury Jets	20	11	5	4	41	20	38
4	Cumberland United	20	11	1	8	36	25	34
5	Fulham United FC	20	10	3	7	39	30	33
6	Adelaide Atletico	20	10	3	7	35	29	33
7	Adelaide Blue Eagles	20	9	5	6	33	27	32
8	Cove	20	7	5	8	26	29	26
9	Adelaide Cobras	20	6	2	12	22	39	20
10	Eastern United	20	5	4	11	20	40	19
11	South Adelaide	21	4	3	14	25	59	15
12	Salisbury United	21	4	2	15	25	47	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cumberland United	Adelaide Olympic
Cove	2-0 W	2-0 W
Adelaide Blue Eagles	2-1 W	2-1 W
Fulham United FC	3-1 W	4-0 W
Adelaide Croatia Raiders	1-2 L	1-3 L
Eastern United	1-0 W	1-2 L
South Adelaide	5-1 W	5-1 W
Adelaide Cobras	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cumberland United (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cumberland United

WWWWLDWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
25/07	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
21/07	Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
16/07	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-1	1	2	W
11/07	White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Federation Cup	1-1	2-2	1	9	D
04/07	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
26/06	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
20/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	4-1	5-1	3	2	W
13/06	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
10/06	Adelaide Cobras Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	3-2	8	3	W

Adelaide Olympic

LWWLWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
24/07	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	5-1	9	6	W
18/07	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
03/07	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
27/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-4	4	4	L
20/06	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
12/06	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
06/06	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	4	9	W
29/05	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	4-0	9	3	W
23/05	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	1-3	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cumberland United win (39%). Probabilities: Cumberland United 39%, draw 25%, Adelaide Olympic 35%.

How many goals are expected in Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Cumberland United 1.58 · Adelaide Olympic 1.49), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.