Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 08/08, 07:30

Prediction: Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras

Team pages: Modbury Jets · Adelaide Cobras

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Modbury Jets2.31

Adelaide Cobras0.9

1X2

69% 18% 13%

Modbury Jets Draw Adelaide Cobras

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Modbury Jets 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Adelaide Cobras 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Modbury Jets 4–2–0 Adelaide Cobras (6 last)

Adelaide Cobras0-2Modbury Jets
Adelaide Cobras0-2Modbury Jets
Modbury Jets2-2Adelaide Cobras
Modbury Jets2-1Adelaide Cobras
Adelaide Cobras1-1Modbury Jets
Modbury Jets4-2Adelaide Cobras

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Modbury Jets 1543 · Adelaide Cobras 1423

	Modbury Jets	Draw	Adelaide Cobras
Our model	68%	20%	12%
Market	70%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Modbury Jets (rating 1543 vs 1423).
H2H favours Modbury Jets: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Modbury Jets	Adelaide Cobras
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	0.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.5	1.4 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.4	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.80

2 (+1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:08 +3’	1.28	5.50	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Modbury Jets 4–2–0 Adelaide Cobras

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Cobras	0-2 HT 0-1	Modbury Jets
16/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Cobras	0-2 HT 0-1	Modbury Jets
05/02/24 Australia Friendlies	Modbury Jets	2-2 HT 2-0	Adelaide Cobras
28/08/21 Australia South Australia State League 1	Modbury Jets	2-1 HT 1-0	Adelaide Cobras
12/06/21 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Cobras	1-1 HT 0-0	Modbury Jets
30/03/19 Australia FFA Cup	Modbury Jets	4-2 HT 3-1	Adelaide Cobras

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	20	13	2	5	51	24	41
2	Adelaide Olympic	20	13	1	6	40	24	40
3	Modbury Jets	20	11	5	4	41	20	38
4	Cumberland United	20	11	1	8	36	25	34
5	Fulham United FC	20	10	3	7	39	30	33
6	Adelaide Atletico	20	10	3	7	35	29	33
7	Adelaide Blue Eagles	20	9	5	6	33	27	32
8	Cove	20	7	5	8	26	29	26
9	Adelaide Cobras	20	6	2	12	22	39	20
10	Eastern United	20	5	4	11	20	40	19
11	Salisbury United	20	4	2	14	23	44	14
12	South Adelaide	20	3	3	14	22	57	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Modbury Jets	Adelaide Cobras
South Adelaide	3-2 W	2-0 W
Adelaide Atletico	4-0 W	2-3 L
Adelaide Blue Eagles	1-3 L	0-0 D
Cove	0-0 D	1-0 W
Eastern United	0-0 D	1-1 D
Adelaide Olympic	4-1 W	0-2 L
Fulham United FC	0-2 L	0-3 L
Adelaide Croatia Raiders	1-3 L	0-7 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Modbury Jets (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Modbury Jets

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-2	8	3	W
25/07	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
18/07	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-2	6	3	W
13/07	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	1-3	6	7	L
07/07	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/07	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
27/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	4-1	8	4	W
20/06	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
05/06	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-2	1	3	L
30/05	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	1-3	10	3	L

Adelaide Cobras

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
25/07	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
18/07	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
04/07	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
27/06	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-7	2	1	L
20/06	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
13/06	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
10/06	Cumberland United Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
06/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-0	1	0	W
30/05	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-3	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Modbury Jets win (69%). Probabilities: Modbury Jets 69%, draw 18%, Adelaide Cobras 13%.

How many goals are expected in Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Modbury Jets 2.31 · Adelaide Cobras 0.9), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.