Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 08/08, 07:00
Prediction: Adelaide City vs Playford
Team pages: Adelaide City · Playford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Adelaide City1.78
Playford0.89
1X2
Adelaide City
Draw
Playford
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Adelaide City
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Playford
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Adelaide City
3–1–0
Playford
(4 last)
- Playford0-0Adelaide City
- Adelaide City2-0Playford
- Playford3-4Adelaide City
- Playford0-2Adelaide City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide City 1588 · Playford 1471
| Adelaide City | Draw | Playford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 17% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide City (rating 1588 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Adelaide City: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide City | Playford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 1.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide City 3–1–0 Playford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Playford | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Adelaide City |
| 21/06/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide City | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Playford |
| 22/03/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Playford | 3-4 HT 0-2 | Adelaide City |
| 04/02/25 Australia Friendlies | Playford | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Adelaide City |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 25 | 41 |
| 3 | Metrostars | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 23 | 38 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 33 |
| 5 | Playford | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 32 |
| 6 | Croydon FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 38 | 29 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 26 |
| 8 | West Adelaide | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 25 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 10 | Campbelltown City | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 35 | 23 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 35 | 16 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 93 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide City | Playford |
|---|---|---|
| Campbelltown City | 4-0 W | 4-1 W |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Croydon FC | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Para Hills Knights | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Adelaide Comets | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Metrostars | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Adelaide United NPL | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Sturt Lions | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| White City FK Beograd | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide City (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 05/06 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
Playford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | Adelaide United Australia Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide City vs Playford?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide City win (58%). Probabilities: Adelaide City 58%, draw 24%, Playford 18%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide City vs Playford?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Adelaide City 1.78 · Playford 0.89), with a 60% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide City vs Playford?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.