Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 31/08, 19:00

Prediction: Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila Gori

Team pages: Dinamo Tbilisi · Dila Gori

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Dinamo Tbilisi1.53

Dila Gori1.29

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Dinamo Tbilisi Draw Dila Gori

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Dinamo Tbilisi 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLWWWL

Dila Gori 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWWWD

Head-to-head

Dinamo Tbilisi 1–3–2 Dila Gori (6 last)

Dila Gori0-0Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila Gori0-0Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi1-2Dila Gori
Dila Gori2-2Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi2-0Dila Gori
Dila Gori2-1Dinamo Tbilisi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dinamo Tbilisi 1503 · Dila Gori 1490

	Dinamo Tbilisi	Draw	Dila Gori
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dila Gori: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dinamo Tbilisi	Dila Gori
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.5	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.30

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:12 +7’	2.15	3.30	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Tbilisi 1–3–2 Dila Gori

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/07/26 Georgia Super Cup	Dila Gori	0-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Tbilisi
20/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	0-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Tbilisi
03/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Tbilisi	1-2 HT 1-1	Dila Gori
06/12/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	2-2 HT 0-1	Dinamo Tbilisi
03/10/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Tbilisi	2-0 HT 1-0	Dila Gori
28/05/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	2-1 HT 1-1	Dinamo Tbilisi

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rustavi	23	12	6	5	30	19	42
2	Dinamo Batumi	23	10	7	6	38	32	37
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	21	9	7	5	33	25	34
4	FC Iberia 1999	20	10	4	6	30	22	34
5	Samgurali	23	9	5	9	32	41	32
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	22	8	7	7	36	25	31
7	Dila Gori	21	9	3	9	26	22	30
8	FC Gagra	22	5	9	8	21	30	24
9	FC Spaeri	23	5	8	10	30	35	23
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	22	1	8	13	15	40	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dinamo Tbilisi	Dila Gori
FC Rustavi	0-3 L	3-0 W
FC Spaeri	2-1 W	3-1 W
Dinamo Batumi	2-1 W	2-3 L
Samgurali	5-3 W	2-3 L
FC Gagra	1-2 L	0-2 L
Meshakhte Tkibuli	6-1 W	3-1 W
Torpedo Kutaisi	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Tbilisi (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dinamo Tbilisi

WWDLWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
09/08	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
23/06	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
18/06	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-2	5-3	2	3	W
14/06	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-2	1-2	13	0	L
30/05	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-0	6-1	7	6	W
24/05	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-1	9	0	L
20/05	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
16/05	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
11/05	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-2	3-2	8	1	W

Dila Gori

WLDLLLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
16/08	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-1	7	5	W
22/06	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
16/06	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
12/06	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	2-3	5	2	L
29/05	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	2-3	6	3	L
24/05	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
20/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
15/05	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
10/05	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-0	2-0	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila Gori?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Tbilisi win (42%). Probabilities: Dinamo Tbilisi 42%, draw 27%, Dila Gori 31%.

How many goals are expected in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila Gori?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Dinamo Tbilisi 1.53 · Dila Gori 1.29), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila Gori?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.