Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 09/09, 19:00

Prediction: Dinamo Batumi vs FC Iberia 1999

Team pages: Dinamo Batumi · FC Iberia 1999

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Dinamo Batumi1.53

FC Iberia 19991.33

1X2

41% 27% 32%

Dinamo Batumi Draw FC Iberia 1999

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Dinamo Batumi 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDWWWW

FC Iberia 1999 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLWLLW

Head-to-head

Dinamo Batumi 0–1–5 FC Iberia 1999 (6 last)

FC Iberia 19991-0Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi0-3FC Iberia 1999
Dinamo Batumi0-2FC Iberia 1999
FC Iberia 19995-1Dinamo Batumi
FC Iberia 19990-0Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi2-3FC Iberia 1999

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dinamo Batumi 1554 · FC Iberia 1999 1493

	Dinamo Batumi	Draw	FC Iberia 1999
Our model	41%	27%	32%
Market	41%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Batumi (rating 1554 vs 1493).
H2H favours FC Iberia 1999: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dinamo Batumi	FC Iberia 1999
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.2	2.6 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.30

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:22 +13’	2.20	3.30	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Batumi 0–1–5 FC Iberia 1999

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Iberia 1999	1-0 HT 1-0	Dinamo Batumi
18/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Batumi	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Iberia 1999
04/11/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Batumi	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Iberia 1999
31/10/25 Georgia Cup	FC Iberia 1999	5-1 HT 1-0	Dinamo Batumi
23/08/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Iberia 1999	0-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Batumi
07/05/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Batumi	2-3 HT 2-2	FC Iberia 1999

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rustavi	24	12	6	6	30	20	42
2	Dinamo Batumi	24	11	7	6	39	32	40
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	23	10	8	5	36	27	38
4	FC Iberia 1999	22	11	4	7	32	25	37
5	Dila Gori	23	10	3	10	28	24	33
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	24	8	8	8	37	28	32
7	Samgurali	24	9	5	10	33	43	32
8	FC Gagra	24	6	9	9	23	31	27
9	FC Spaeri	24	5	9	10	32	37	24
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	24	2	9	13	19	42	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dinamo Batumi	FC Iberia 1999
FC Rustavi	1-0 W	1-2 L
FC Spaeri	3-0 W	1-1 D
Meshakhte Tkibuli	1-0 W	2-1 W
Samgurali	4-0 W	2-1 W
FC Gagra	2-2 D	0-2 L
Dinamo Tbilisi	1-2 L	0-2 L
Torpedo Kutaisi	3-2 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Batumi (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dinamo Batumi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
30/08	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-0	3-0	3	5	W
21/08	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
16/08	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-0	4-0	5	4	W
08/08	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-0	2-2	6	1	D
23/06	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
17/06	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-2	3	3	W
12/06	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-2	4	2	W
29/05	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
25/05	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	11	5	W

FC Iberia 1999

LWLWDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
31/08	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-2	11	2	L
15/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-3	3-4	11	4	L
23/06	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
17/06	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
12/06	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
29/05	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
25/05	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-2	2-3	5	9	L
20/05	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
16/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-2	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dinamo Batumi vs FC Iberia 1999?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Batumi win (41%). Probabilities: Dinamo Batumi 41%, draw 27%, FC Iberia 1999 32%.

How many goals are expected in Dinamo Batumi vs FC Iberia 1999?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Dinamo Batumi 1.53 · FC Iberia 1999 1.33), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Batumi vs FC Iberia 1999?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.