Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 06/09, 18:00

Prediction: Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Team pages: Torpedo Kutaisi · Dinamo Tbilisi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Torpedo Kutaisi1.55

Dinamo Tbilisi1.5

1X2

38% 27% 36%

Torpedo Kutaisi Draw Dinamo Tbilisi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Torpedo Kutaisi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDLWDL

Dinamo Tbilisi 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Torpedo Kutaisi 2–3–1 Dinamo Tbilisi (6 last)

Dinamo Tbilisi0-1Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi0-0Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi2-2Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi1-1Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi2-0Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi2-0Dinamo Tbilisi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torpedo Kutaisi 1483 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1519

	Torpedo Kutaisi	Draw	Dinamo Tbilisi
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	38%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Torpedo Kutaisi: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Torpedo Kutaisi	Dinamo Tbilisi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.5	2.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.30

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.35▲	Bet365 2.35
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.63 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:45 +6’	2.25	3.30	2.63
07:36 +5’	2.35▲	3.30	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Torpedo Kutaisi 2–3–1 Dinamo Tbilisi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Tbilisi	0-1 HT 0-0	Torpedo Kutaisi
07/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Torpedo Kutaisi	0-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Tbilisi
30/11/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Tbilisi	2-2 HT 1-1	Torpedo Kutaisi
27/09/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Torpedo Kutaisi	1-1 HT 0-0	Dinamo Tbilisi
24/05/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Tbilisi	2-0 HT 1-0	Torpedo Kutaisi
13/04/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Torpedo Kutaisi	2-0 HT 2-0	Dinamo Tbilisi

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rustavi	24	12	6	6	30	20	42
2	Dinamo Batumi	24	11	7	6	39	32	40
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	22	10	7	5	35	26	37
4	FC Iberia 1999	21	10	4	7	30	24	34
5	Samgurali	23	9	5	9	32	41	32
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	23	8	7	8	36	27	31
7	Dila Gori	22	9	3	10	27	24	30
8	FC Gagra	23	6	9	8	23	30	27
9	FC Spaeri	23	5	8	10	30	35	23
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	23	2	8	13	17	40	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Torpedo Kutaisi	Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte Tkibuli	0-2 L	6-1 W
Dila Gori	2-2 D	2-1 W
FC Iberia 1999	4-3 W	2-0 W
FC Rustavi	0-1 L	0-3 L
FC Spaeri	0-0 D	2-1 W
Dinamo Batumi	2-3 L	2-1 W
Samgurali	1-2 L	5-3 W
FC Gagra	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Tbilisi (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torpedo Kutaisi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
22/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
15/08	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-1	4-3	10	4	W
07/08	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
22/06	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
17/06	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
13/06	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	5	8	L
28/05	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	1-2	10	4	L
24/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
20/05	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	4-1	5	4	W

Dinamo Tbilisi

WDLWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
15/08	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
09/08	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
23/06	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
18/06	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-2	5-3	2	3	W
14/06	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-2	1-2	13	0	L
30/05	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-0	6-1	7	6	W
24/05	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-1	9	0	L
20/05	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
16/05	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-0	2-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Torpedo Kutaisi win (38%). Probabilities: Torpedo Kutaisi 38%, draw 27%, Dinamo Tbilisi 36%.

How many goals are expected in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Torpedo Kutaisi 1.55 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1.5), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.