Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 10/09, 17:00

Prediction: Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Team pages: Dinamo Tbilisi · Meshakhte Tkibuli

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Dinamo Tbilisi2.16

Meshakhte Tkibuli0.77

1X2

69% 20% 12%

Dinamo Tbilisi Draw Meshakhte Tkibuli

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dinamo Tbilisi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWLWD

Meshakhte Tkibuli 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLLWD

Head-to-head

Dinamo Tbilisi 1–1–0 Meshakhte Tkibuli (2 last)

Meshakhte Tkibuli1-6Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi1-1Meshakhte Tkibuli

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dinamo Tbilisi 1521 · Meshakhte Tkibuli 1454

	Dinamo Tbilisi	Draw	Meshakhte Tkibuli
Our model	68%	20%	11%
Market	69%	19%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Tbilisi (rating 1521 vs 1454).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dinamo Tbilisi	Meshakhte Tkibuli
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.7	1.9 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.75

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:20 +4’	1.30	4.75	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Tbilisi 1–1–0 Meshakhte Tkibuli

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Meshakhte Tkibuli	1-6 HT 0-3	Dinamo Tbilisi
17/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Tbilisi	1-1 HT 1-1	Meshakhte Tkibuli

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rustavi	24	12	6	6	30	20	42
2	Dinamo Batumi	24	11	7	6	39	32	40
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	23	10	8	5	36	27	38
4	FC Iberia 1999	22	11	4	7	32	25	37
5	Dila Gori	23	10	3	10	28	24	33
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	24	8	8	8	37	28	32
7	Samgurali	24	9	5	10	33	43	32
8	FC Gagra	24	6	9	9	23	31	27
9	FC Spaeri	24	5	9	10	32	37	24
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	24	2	9	13	19	42	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dinamo Tbilisi	Meshakhte Tkibuli
Torpedo Kutaisi	1-1 D	2-0 W
Dila Gori	2-1 W	1-3 L
FC Rustavi	0-3 L	0-1 L
FC Spaeri	2-1 W	2-2 D
Dinamo Batumi	2-1 W	0-1 L
Samgurali	5-3 W	1-2 L
FC Gagra	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Tbilisi (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dinamo Tbilisi

DLWLWWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
31/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
15/08	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
09/08	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
23/06	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
18/06	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-2	5-3	2	3	W
14/06	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-2	1-2	13	0	L
30/05	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-0	6-1	7	6	W
24/05	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-1	9	0	L
20/05	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	5	7	D

Meshakhte Tkibuli

LLLDLLLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	2-2	3	3	D
31/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
21/08	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
16/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	1-3	3	5	L
09/08	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
23/06	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
18/06	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
13/06	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
30/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	1-6	6	6	L
25/05	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Tbilisi win (69%). Probabilities: Dinamo Tbilisi 69%, draw 20%, Meshakhte Tkibuli 12%.

How many goals are expected in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Dinamo Tbilisi 2.16 · Meshakhte Tkibuli 0.77), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.