Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Dila Gori vs FC Gagra

Team pages: Dila Gori · FC Gagra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Dila Gori1.72

FC Gagra0.97

1X2

54% 25% 20%

Dila Gori Draw FC Gagra

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dila Gori 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWWWDL

FC Gagra 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDDDLW

Head-to-head

Dila Gori 3–2–1 FC Gagra (6 last)

FC Gagra2-0Dila Gori
Dila Gori1-1FC Gagra
Dila Gori5-0FC Gagra
FC Gagra0-1Dila Gori
Dila Gori2-0FC Gagra
FC Gagra0-0Dila Gori

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dila Gori 1500 · FC Gagra 1542

	Dila Gori	Draw	FC Gagra
Our model	54%	26%	20%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Gagra (rating 1500 vs 1542).
H2H favours Dila Gori: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dila Gori	FC Gagra
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.60

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:04 +4’	1.65	3.60	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dila Gori 3–2–1 FC Gagra

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Gagra	2-0 HT 0-0	Dila Gori
07/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Gagra
21/10/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	5-0 HT 0-0	FC Gagra
10/08/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Gagra	0-1 HT 0-0	Dila Gori
28/04/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Gagra
06/03/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Gagra	0-0 HT 0-0	Dila Gori

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rustavi	23	12	6	5	30	19	42
2	Dinamo Tbilisi	22	10	7	5	35	26	37
3	Dinamo Batumi	23	10	7	6	38	32	37
4	FC Iberia 1999	21	10	4	7	30	24	34
5	Samgurali	23	9	5	9	32	41	32
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	23	8	7	8	36	27	31
7	Dila Gori	22	9	3	10	27	24	30
8	FC Gagra	23	6	9	8	23	30	27
9	FC Spaeri	23	5	8	10	30	35	23
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	23	2	8	13	17	40	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dila Gori	FC Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi	1-2 L	2-1 W
Torpedo Kutaisi	2-2 D	2-1 W
Meshakhte Tkibuli	3-1 W	1-1 D
FC Rustavi	3-0 W	0-3 L
FC Spaeri	3-1 W	1-1 D
Dinamo Batumi	2-3 L	2-2 D
Samgurali	2-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Gagra (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dila Gori

LDLLLWWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
22/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
16/08	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-1	7	5	W
22/06	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
16/06	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
12/06	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	2-3	5	2	L
29/05	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	2-3	6	3	L
24/05	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
20/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
15/05	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-2	4	4	L

FC Gagra

LWWWDDDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
22/08	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-3	3	4	L
17/08	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	10	5	D
08/08	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-2	2-2	5	1	D
24/06	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
18/06	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
14/06	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-0	2-1	1	0	W
28/05	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	2-1	1	4	W
24/05	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
20/05	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-1	1	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dila Gori vs FC Gagra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dila Gori win (54%). Probabilities: Dila Gori 54%, draw 25%, FC Gagra 20%.

How many goals are expected in Dila Gori vs FC Gagra?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Dila Gori 1.72 · FC Gagra 0.97), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dila Gori vs FC Gagra?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.