Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 16/08, 17:00

Prediction: Dila Gori vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Team pages: Dila Gori · Meshakhte Tkibuli

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Dila Gori2.06
Meshakhte Tkibuli0.72
1X2
68% 21% 11%
Dila Gori Draw Meshakhte Tkibuli
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Dila Gori 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLDWLLWLW
Meshakhte Tkibuli 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDLWDL
Head-to-head
Dila Gori 1–1 Meshakhte Tkibuli (2 last)
  • Meshakhte Tkibuli0-2Dila Gori
  • Dila Gori0-1Meshakhte Tkibuli
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dila Gori 1490 · Meshakhte Tkibuli 1433
Dila GoriDrawMeshakhte Tkibuli
Our model68%21%11%
Market68%21%11%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dila Gori (rating 1490 vs 1433).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dila GoriMeshakhte Tkibuli
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.10.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 6.11.6 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.24.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dila Gori 101 Meshakhte Tkibuli

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli0-2
HT 0-2
Dila Gori
12/03/26
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
Dila Gori0-1
HT 0-0
Meshakhte Tkibuli

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Rustavi 211155 261838
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 21975 332534
3 FC Iberia 1999 201046 302234
4 Torpedo Kutaisi 21867 342330
5 Dinamo Batumi 20776 303228
6 Samgurali 20848 273328
7 Dila Gori 19829 211926
8 FC Gagra 20587 202623
9 FC Spaeri 20578 262722
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 201811 143611

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDila GoriMeshakhte Tkibuli
Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 D 1-6 L
Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 L 1-4 L
FC Rustavi 3-0 W 0-1 L
FC Spaeri 3-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dila Gori (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dila Gori

WWLDWLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 FC Gori
Georgia Cup
0-0 2-0 45 W
28/07 Apollon Limassol
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-1 0-3 43 L
25/07 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Cup
0-0 1-0 171 W
23/07 Apollon Limassol
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-2 0-4 65 L
16/07 SS Virtus
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 0-1 35 L
09/07 SS Virtus
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
2-1 3-1 54 W
01/07 Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgia Super Cup
0-0 0-0 36 D
27/06 Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia Super Cup
0-0 0-1 105 L
22/06 FC Rustavi
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-0 3-0 55 W
16/06 FC Spaeri
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
1-1 3-1 44 W

Meshakhte Tkibuli

LLLLLDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Samgurali
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
1-1 1-2 24 L
01/08 Samgurali
Georgia Cup
0-0 0-0 09 D
25/07 FC Gonio
Georgia Cup
1-1 2-1 01 W
23/06 FC Iberia 1999
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-0 1-2 27 L
18/06 FC Gagra
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-0 1-1 46 D
13/06 FC Rustavi
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-0 0-1 30 L
30/05 Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-3 1-6 66 L
25/05 FC Spaeri
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-1 1-2 36 L
20/05 Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
0-0 1-4 34 L
16/05 Dinamo Batumi
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
1-0 1-2 26 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dila Gori vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dila Gori win (68%). Probabilities: Dila Gori 68%, draw 21%, Meshakhte Tkibuli 11%.

How many goals are expected in Dila Gori vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Dila Gori 2.06 · Meshakhte Tkibuli 0.72), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dila Gori vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.