Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: Dila Gori vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Team pages: Dila Gori · Torpedo Kutaisi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Dila Gori1.32

Torpedo Kutaisi1.22

1X2

38% 28% 34%

Dila Gori Draw Torpedo Kutaisi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dila Gori 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLLWWW

Torpedo Kutaisi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLLDLW

Head-to-head

Dila Gori 3–3 Torpedo Kutaisi (6 last)

Dila Gori0-1Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi2-1Dila Gori
Dila Gori1-0Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila Gori1-0Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi0-1Dila Gori
Dila Gori0-1Torpedo Kutaisi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dila Gori 1507 · Torpedo Kutaisi 1503

	Dila Gori	Draw	Torpedo Kutaisi
Our model	38%	29%	33%
Market	39%	27%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dila Gori	Torpedo Kutaisi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.30

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.30▲	Pinn 2.36
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.70 → 2.63▼	Pinn 3.00 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:00 +5’	2.25	3.30	2.70
09:28 +5’	2.30▲	3.30	2.63▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:25 +8’	2.39	3.08	2.87
15:51 +2’	2.36▼	3.13▲	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dila Gori 3–0–3 Torpedo Kutaisi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Georgia Super Cup	Dila Gori	0-1 HT 0-0	Torpedo Kutaisi
15/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Torpedo Kutaisi	2-1 HT 0-0	Dila Gori
16/03/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	1-0 HT 1-0	Torpedo Kutaisi
03/11/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	1-0 HT 0-0	Torpedo Kutaisi
23/08/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Torpedo Kutaisi	0-1 HT 0-0	Dila Gori
07/05/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	0-1 HT 0-1	Torpedo Kutaisi

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rustavi	21	11	5	5	26	18	38
2	Dinamo Tbilisi	21	9	7	5	33	25	34
3	FC Iberia 1999	20	10	4	6	30	22	34
4	Dinamo Batumi	22	9	7	6	35	32	34
5	Torpedo Kutaisi	21	8	6	7	34	23	30
6	Dila Gori	20	9	2	9	24	20	29
7	Samgurali	21	8	4	9	27	37	28
8	FC Gagra	21	5	9	7	21	27	24
9	FC Spaeri	21	5	8	8	27	28	23
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	22	1	8	13	15	40	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dila Gori	Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte Tkibuli	3-1 W	4-1 W
FC Rustavi	3-0 W	0-1 L
FC Spaeri	3-1 W	0-0 D
Dinamo Batumi	2-3 L	2-3 L
Samgurali	2-3 L	1-2 L
FC Gagra	0-2 L	1-2 L
Dinamo Tbilisi	0-0 D	1-0 W
FC Iberia 1999	0-1 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Torpedo Kutaisi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dila Gori

LWLDLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-1	7	5	W
22/06	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
16/06	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
12/06	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	2-3	5	2	L
29/05	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	2-3	6	3	L
24/05	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
20/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
15/05	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
10/05	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-0	2-0	3	1	W
06/05	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L

Torpedo Kutaisi

DWWWLLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-1	4-3	10	4	W
07/08	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
22/06	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
17/06	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
13/06	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	5	8	L
28/05	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	1-2	10	4	L
24/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
20/05	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	4-1	5	4	W
15/05	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
10/05	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	1-1	5	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dila Gori vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dila Gori win (38%). Probabilities: Dila Gori 38%, draw 28%, Torpedo Kutaisi 34%.

How many goals are expected in Dila Gori vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Dila Gori 1.32 · Torpedo Kutaisi 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dila Gori vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.